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Cyclicals sector

PVE

Cyclicals
Tổng Công ty Tư vấn Thiết kế Dầu khí - Công ty Cổ phần
Dầu khí/Thiết bị, Dịch vụ và Phân phối Dầu khíCT
2.900
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
0
Current
2.900
Gap
-100.0%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTDầu khíCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Dầu khí" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Ebitda
BVPS
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PVE

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

75
Good
Accrual Quality
83
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
4

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.54
Low Risk
DSRI
0.900
GMI
1.297
AQI
1.200
SGI
0.991
DEPI
1.337
SGAI
1.193
TATA
-0.043
LVGI
1.000

PVE exhibits several concerning indicators, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -2.5361, suggesting a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality score of 75.3/100 reflects reasonable earnings integrity, albeit with notable weaknesses in revenue recognition.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.5361 indicates potential earnings manipulation risk, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings quality margin score of 0.0/100 suggests significant issues in margin reporting, which could indicate aggressive accounting practices.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings quality score of 75.3/100 indicates overall decent earnings integrity, with high scores in cash conversion (100.0/100) and receivables (100.0/100).
  • Low DSRI of 0.8997 suggests that inventory levels are well managed relative to sales, indicating operational efficiency.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure shows a significant concentration with the largest shareholder holding 29.0%, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest, especially in a state-owned enterprise context.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor PVE's financial disclosures and earnings reports for signs of aggressive accounting practices. A cautious approach is advised, considering the elevated risk of manipulation and governance concerns.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
-0.65
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.41
Positive
Composite
51
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+14.3%
Volatility
97.8%
Max Drawdown
-27.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
-87.90P/E
P/B0.00
P/S0.34
ROE0.6%
ROA-0.1%
EPS-25.82
BVPS0.00
Gross Margin26.4%
Net Margin-0.4%
D/E-8.60
Current Ratio0.87
Rev Growth-0.9%
Profit Growth-145.4%
EV/EBITDA14.52
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
25.0M
Charter Capital
250.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Dầu khí
Industry (ICB L3)
Thiết bị, Dịch vụ và Phân phối Dầu khí
Sub-industry
Thiết bị và Dịch vụ Dầu khí
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PVE — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập Đoàn Công Nghiệp – Năng Lượng Quốc Gia Việt Nam
Inst
29.0%
7.3 trieu
Tạ Đức Tiến
Indiv
10.0%
2.5 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Giải Pháp Công Nghệ Ulatech
Inst
6.5%
1.6 trieu
nguyen-tien-dung
Indiv
6.2%
1.6 trieu
Vietnam Equity Holding
Inst
5.9%
1.5 trieu
Đỗ Đức Hiếu
Indiv
4.6%
1.1 trieu
Đỗ Văn Thanh
Indiv
0.5%
114.199
Bùi Tuấn Anh
Indiv
0.3%
62.640
Nguyễn Ngọc Hải
Indiv
0.2%
51.807
Nguyễn Học Hải
Indiv
0.2%
41.807
Đỗ Văn Định
Indiv
0.2%
39.340
Board & Management
Đỗ Văn Thanh0.5%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Học Hải0.2%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Lê Hữu Bốn
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Đinh Văn Dĩnh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Ngô Ngọc Thường
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Khắc Chương
Kế toán trưởng
Lê Thái Thanh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Fong Nyuk Loon
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Hạnh Thục
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đỗ Mạnh Hào
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Việt Hoài
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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