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Cyclicals sector

SKG

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Tàu Cao tốc Superdong - Kiên Giang
Du lịch và Giải trí/Du lịch & Giải tríCT
9.260
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
9.666
Current
9.260
Gap
+4.4%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTDu lịch và Giải tríCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Du lịch và Giải trí" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA90.74B
Fair EV/EBITDA7.0x
Years of data7
2
Valuation
Mid-Cycle EBITDA
90.74B
x
Fair EV/EBITDA
7.0x
-
Net Debt
-7.54B
=
Equity Value
9.666
Years of data7

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SKG

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

83
Good
Accrual Quality
90
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
63
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.91
Low Risk
DSRI
0.944
GMI
0.867
AQI
0.460
SGI
1.107
DEPI
1.033
SGAI
0.953
TATA
-0.026
LVGI
1.235

SKG's Beneish M-Score of -2.912 indicates a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the Earnings Quality Score of 83.2 suggests some concerns, particularly in revenue recognition, which scored 0.0/100.

Red Flags
  • Revenue Quality: The revenue quality score of 0.0/100 raises concerns about the sustainability of reported revenues.
  • Earnings Margin: The earnings margin score of 63.0/100 is relatively low, indicating potential issues with profitability.
Positive Signals
  • Strong Cash Conversion: The cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates effective management of cash flows.
  • Low DSRI: The DSRI of 0.9436 suggests that inventory management is efficient, which is a positive indicator.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is concentrated among a few individuals, with the top five shareholders holding over 54% of the company. This concentration could lead to governance risks, as decisions may not reflect broader shareholder interests.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider the implications of concentrated ownership. A deeper analysis of cash flow sustainability and profitability metrics is recommended before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
23.65
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.50
Negative
Composite
59
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-4.9%
Volatility
22.0%
Max Drawdown
-30.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
12.85P/E
P/B0.68
P/S1.46
ROE5.4%
ROA5.3%
EPS720.60
BVPS13519.35
Gross Margin26.3%
Net Margin11.4%
D/E0.02
Current Ratio28.80
Rev Growth10.7%
Profit Growth41.0%
EV/EBITDA6.59
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
66.5M
Charter Capital
665.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Du lịch và Giải trí
Industry (ICB L3)
Du lịch & Giải trí
Sub-industry
Vận tải hành khách & Du lịch
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SKG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Ting Chek Hua
Indiv
13.1%
8.7 trieu
Puan Kwong Siing
Indiv
12.8%
8.5 trieu
Hà Nguyệt Nhi
Indiv
7.1%
4.7 trieu
Kaibuok Shipyard Sdn. Bhd.
Indiv
5.9%
4.0 trieu
Puan Chiong
Indiv
4.9%
3.2 trieu
the ton poh fund
Inst
4.8%
1.7 trieu
Huỳnh Thị Phương Tú
Indiv
4.8%
3.1 trieu
Huỳnh Văn Phương
Indiv
4.7%
3.0 trieu
Kong Mee Ling
Indiv
2.8%
1.9 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Hoa Lệ
Indiv
1.0%
640.008
Arthur Puan Chok Ho
Indiv
0.3%
164.000
Nguyễn Văn Lợi
Indiv
0.2%
146.779
Board & Management
Ting Chek Hua13.1%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Puan Kwong Siing12.8%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Hà Nguyệt Nhi7.1%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Hoa Lệ1.0%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Kim Hồng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Nhung
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lương Nguyễn Mỹ Chi
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Tăng Siêu Tâm
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
La Xuân Đào
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Phan Hồng Phúc
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Bùi Thị Hồng Đào
Kế toán trưởng
Chua Peng Teck
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

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