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Construction sector

BCR

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần BCG Land
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
1.300
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
5.464
Current
1.300
Gap
+320.3%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
10.929
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
10.929

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — BCR

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

30
Poor
Accrual Quality
95
Cash Conversion
24
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-1.68
Elevated
DSRI
1.798
GMI
1.533
AQI
1.112
SGI
0.709
DEPI
0.898
SGAI
1.210
TATA
0.014
LVGI
1.056

BCR exhibits several concerning financial metrics that suggest potential earnings manipulation, particularly indicated by its Beneish M-Score of -1.6815, which is close to the manipulation threshold. The low earnings quality score of 29.7/100, especially the poor performance in cash conversion and receivables, raises significant red flags regarding the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.6815, close to the manipulation threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 29.7/100, with cash conversion at only 24.1/100 and receivables at 0.0/100, indicating poor earnings quality.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 1.7984 suggests that the company is managing its inventory levels relatively well compared to sales, which could indicate operational efficiency.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership with Bamboo Capital holding 62.1% raises concerns about governance and potential conflicts of interest, as institutional investors may prioritize their interests over minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor BCR's financial disclosures, particularly focusing on cash flow statements and receivables management. Consider waiting for improved earnings quality metrics before making significant investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
0.55
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-1.91
Negative
Composite
35
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-70.1%
Volatility
109.9%
Max Drawdown
-77.1%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
3.11P/E
P/B0.16
P/S1.20
ROE5.1%
ROA2.0%
EPS546.86
BVPS10928.93
Gross Margin19.1%
Net Margin38.7%
D/E1.16
Current Ratio1.77
Rev Growth-29.1%
Profit Growth190.0%
EV/EBITDA-169.23
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
473.8M
Charter Capital
4738.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for BCR — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn Bamboo Capital
Inst
62.1%
294.2 trieu
Công ty cổ phần Tập đoàn Xây dựng Tracodi
Inst
9.4%
44.7 trieu
nguyen-thanh-hung
Indiv
0.9%
4.1 trieu
Nguyễn Xuân Lan
Indiv
0.4%
2.1 trieu
Huỳnh Thị Kim Tuyến
Indiv
0.4%
2.1 trieu
nguyen-khanh-duy
Indiv
0.4%
2.0 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư và Dịch vụ Helios
Inst
0.3%
1.6 trieu
Lê Nông
Indiv
0.2%
1.0 trieu
NGUYỄN CHÂU DIỆU ÂN
Indiv
0.2%
930.000
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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