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Cyclicals sector

PHN

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Pin Hà Nội
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Điện tử & Thiết bị điệnCT
64.900
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
45.828
Current
64.900
Gap
-29.4%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA53.71B
Fair EV/EBITDA6.1x
Years of data7
2
Valuation
Mid-Cycle EBITDA
53.71B
x
Fair EV/EBITDA
6.1x
-
Net Debt
-3.17B
=
Equity Value
45.828
Years of data7

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PHN

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

31
Weak
Accrual Quality
41
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
46
Margin Stability
96
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2015

-2.83
Low Risk
DSRI
0.738
GMI
0.961
AQI
1.598
SGI
0.941
DEPI
0.000
SGAI
1.265
TATA
-0.033
LVGI
0.899

PHN exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.8332, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant concerns, particularly in receivables management, which could pose risks to cash flow stability.

Red Flags
  • The receivables quality score is only 20.0/100, indicating potential issues in collecting receivables, which could affect liquidity.
  • The SGI of 0.9414 suggests that revenue growth is slowing, which may raise concerns about future profitability.
Positive Signals
  • The earnings quality score of 77.7/100, particularly the cash conversion score of 100.0/100, indicates strong cash flow generation relative to earnings.
  • A Beneish M-Score below the manipulation threshold suggests that the company is not currently engaging in aggressive accounting practices.
Ownership Risk

With Gp Batteries International Limited holding 49.0% of shares, there is a significant concentration of ownership, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor the company's receivables management and revenue growth trends. Consider a cautious approach to investment until improvements in these areas are observed.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
1/9
Weak
Z-Score
8.10
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.23
Negative
Composite
20
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-18.5%
Volatility
56.8%
Max Drawdown
-23.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
14.67P/E
P/B3.27
P/S1.24
ROE22.6%
ROA16.4%
EPS4838.20
BVPS21724.18
Gross Margin20.8%
Net Margin8.5%
D/E0.39
Current Ratio2.98
Rev Growth-7.6%
Profit Growth-39.8%
EV/EBITDA10.27
Div Yield5.6%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
7.3M
Charter Capital
72.5B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Điện tử & Thiết bị điện
Sub-industry
Hàng điện & điện tử
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PHN — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Gp Batteries International Limited
Inst
49.0%
3.6 trieu
Lê Xuân Lương
Indiv
5.9%
426.300
Phạm Văn Nghĩa
Indiv
5.0%
364.350
Đỗ Văn Pháo
Indiv
2.1%
156.043
Tập đoàn Hóa chất Việt Nam
Inst
2.0%
144.533
nguyen-thanh-hung
Indiv
1.6%
117.980
Phạm Nam Long
Indiv
1.3%
94.052
Lê Thị Ngà
Indiv
1.1%
79.035
Phạm Xuân Nam
Indiv
1.0%
69.945
nguyen-thanh-vinh
Indiv
0.9%
63.134
Diệp Thị Hạnh
Indiv
0.6%
46.764
Trần Thị Ánh Hồng
Indiv
0.6%
41.937
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Hải
Indiv
0.5%
34.965
Võ Khánh Toàn
Indiv
0.3%
19.600
nguyen-thanh-hien
Indiv
0.2%
15.342
Đỗ Thị Lê Mai
Indiv
0.2%
14.000
nguyen-thi-minh-hien
Indiv
0.2%
12.900
Lưu Thị Bích Thủy
Indiv
0.2%
11.451
nguyen-thanh-quang
Indiv
0.2%
11.463
nguyen-thanh-duc
Indiv
0.1%
8.303
Board & Management
Phạm Văn Nghĩa5.0%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thanh Hùng1.6%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Hải0.5%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Võ Khánh Toàn0.3%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Thanh Quang0.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thanh Đức0.1%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Tiến Triển
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Cao Sơn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc
Quek Guet Ngoh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Tsui Wing Fai
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Huỳnh Tín Đình
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Thùy Dương
Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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