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Real Estate sector

KDH

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư và Kinh doanh nhà Khang Điền
Bất động sảnCT
26.400
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
9.086
Current
26.400
Gap
-65.6%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
62.15%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.00%
x
D/(D+E)
37.85%
=
WACC
10.72%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.46%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
20.640
60%DCF Value
1.384
Blended Intrinsic
9.086
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — KDH

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

22
Poor
Accrual Quality
49
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
64
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.20
High Risk
DSRI
1.273
GMI
0.893
AQI
1.166
SGI
1.426
DEPI
0.917
SGAI
1.000
TATA
0.141
LVGI
1.030

KDH exhibits several concerning indicators related to earnings quality and potential manipulation, despite a Beneish M-Score indicating low likelihood of manipulation. The earnings quality score of 21.9/100, particularly low cash conversion and receivables metrics, raises significant concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 21.9/100 indicates poor earnings quality, particularly with cash conversion at 0.0/100 and receivables at 0.0/100.
  • DSRI of 1.2731 suggests that accounts receivable are growing faster than revenue, which may indicate revenue recognition issues.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.197 is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, suggesting a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Institutional ownership is strong, with top shareholders holding a combined 53.7%, indicating potential stability and oversight.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of institutional ownership may provide stability; however, it also raises concerns about the influence of a few entities on corporate governance and decision-making.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor KDH's earnings quality metrics and consider a cautious approach, as the elevated risk signals suggest potential volatility. Further due diligence on cash flow and revenue recognition practices is recommended.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.12
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.35
Negative
Composite
20
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-3.3%
Volatility
42.1%
Max Drawdown
-31.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
30.17P/E
P/B1.71
P/S6.80
ROE5.9%
ROA3.2%
EPS938.06
BVPS16512.07
Gross Margin59.4%
Net Margin22.5%
D/E0.61
Current Ratio9.04
Rev Growth42.2%
Profit Growth29.9%
EV/EBITDA18.11
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
1122.2M
Charter Capital
11222.1B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for KDH — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Vinacapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund Ltd.
Inst
13.9%
73.0 trieu
Công ty CP Đầu Tư Tiên Lộc
Inst
11.2%
126.1 trieu
Công ty TNHH Đầu tư Tiến Lộc
Inst
11.1%
71.6 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Dịch Vụ Tư Vấn Đầu Tư Gam Ma
Inst
8.8%
70.0 trieu
Công ty CP Đầu Tư Thương Mại Á Âu
Inst
8.7%
69.7 trieu
Vietnam Enterprise Limited
Inst
6.0%
67.7 trieu
CTBC Vietnam Equity Fund
Inst
3.6%
28.4 trieu
Mai Trần Thanh Trang
Indiv
2.8%
31.4 trieu
PYN Elite Fund
Inst
2.6%
13.5 trieu
Đoàn Thị Nguyên
Indiv
1.6%
17.8 trieu
Norges Bank
Inst
1.5%
16.4 trieu
amersham industries limited
Inst
1.4%
16.0 trieu
Vietnam Holding Ltd
Inst
1.4%
7.4 trieu
Vietnam Enterprise Investments Limited
Inst
1.4%
15.6 trieu
Veil Holdings Limited
Inst
1.3%
14.2 trieu
Hanoi Investments Holdings Limited
Inst
0.9%
10.1 trieu
Công ty TNHH Tư Vấn Đầu Tư Quản Lý Tầm Nhìn Mới
Inst
0.8%
4.4 trieu
Viet Nam Property Holding
Inst
0.7%
900.000
Lê Hoàng Sơn
Indiv
0.4%
2.3 trieu
Lê Hoàng Khởi
Indiv
0.4%
4.6 trieu
Vương Văn Minh
Indiv
0.4%
2.3 trieu
Nguyễn Thùy Trang
Indiv
0.4%
3.0 trieu
Vietnam Investment Limited
Inst
0.4%
4.0 trieu
Longwoods Worldwide Limited
Inst
0.3%
1.9 trieu
DC Developing Markets Strategies Public Limited Company
Inst
0.3%
3.7 trieu
Trà Thanh Trà
Indiv
0.3%
1.3 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Cẩm Vân
Indiv
0.3%
2.9 trieu
Vietnam Investment Property Limited
Inst
0.2%
2.0 trieu
aquila spc ltd
Inst
0.2%
920.000
Quỹ Đầu tư Cổ phiếu Cổ tức Năng động VinaCapital
Inst
0.2%
224.400
Pca International Funds Spc
Inst
0.2%
918.781
VOF Investment Limited
Inst
0.2%
1.7 trieu
Nguyễn Thùy Dương
Indiv
0.1%
1.7 trieu
Quỹ Đầu tư Cổ phiếu Kinh tế hiện đại VinaCapital
Inst
0.1%
1.4 trieu
Wareham Group Limited
Inst
0.1%
1.3 trieu
Trương Minh Duy
Indiv
0.1%
886.632
Nguyễn Trần Cẩm Hiền
Indiv
0.1%
648.347
Quỹ Đầu tư Cổ phiếu Hưng Thịnh Vinacapital
Inst
0.1%
1.2 trieu
Lý Điền Sơn
Indiv
0.1%
1.1 trieu
Ngô Thị Mai Chi
Indiv
0.1%
601.200
Board & Management
Mai Trần Thanh Trang2.8%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Vương Văn Minh0.9%
Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Hoàng Khởi0.4%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Vương Văn Minh0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thùy Trang0.4%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Cẩm Vân0.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trương Minh Duy0.1%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lý Điền Sơn0.1%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Ngô Thị Mai Chi0.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thị Thu Thủy
Kế toán trưởng
Huỳnh Chí Tâm
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Bùi Quang Huy
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lộ Nguyễn Thúy Phượng
Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Nguyễn Văn Dũng
Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Đặng Thế Lương
Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Nguyễn Phương Nam
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Vương Hoàng Thảo Linh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lưu Thị Xuân Lai
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Diệu Phương
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Computed 12/04/2026
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