VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Construction sector

VHG

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư và Phát triển Việt Trung Nam
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Hàng công nghiệpCT
1.800
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
167
Current
1.800
Gap
-90.7%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
92.50%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.40%
x
D/(D+E)
7.50%
=
WACC
11.76%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
50%DCF Value
167
Blended Intrinsic
167
Value Decomposition
42%
58%
Explicit period (42%)Terminal value (58%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VHG

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

47
Weak
Accrual Quality
94
Cash Conversion
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2019

-31.27
Low Risk
DSRI
0.974
GMI
-54.442
AQI
0.824
SGI
1.124
DEPI
1.024
SGAI
1.631
TATA
0.075
LVGI
0.310

VHG exhibits significant red flags indicating potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by its Beneish M-Score of -31.2659, well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 27.5/100, particularly low scores in receivables, margins, and revenue, further highlight concerns regarding the sustainability and transparency of its financial reporting.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -31.2659 indicates strong likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 27.5/100 suggests poor earnings quality, with 0.0/100 in receivables, margins, and revenue metrics.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 0.9737 indicates a slight decrease in Days Sales Receivable, which may suggest improved collection efficiency.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is fragmented with no single shareholder holding a significant controlling stake, which may lead to governance issues and lack of accountability in decision-making.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence on VHG, particularly focusing on its financial reporting practices and governance structure before considering any investment.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
12.86
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.01
Positive
Composite
37
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+16.7%
Volatility
51.5%
Max Drawdown
-38.1%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
141.65P/E
P/B2.06
P/S0.00
ROE1.5%
ROA1.4%
EPS13.41
BVPS924.47
D/E0.05
Current Ratio1.77
Profit Growth186.5%
EV/EBITDA-888.18
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
150.0M
Charter Capital
1500.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng công nghiệp
Sub-industry
Công nghiệp phức hợp
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VHG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
nguyen-thanh-thuy-minh
Indiv
5.3%
7.9 trieu
Trần Quốc Bình
Indiv
5.2%
7.8 trieu
nguyen-luong-khoa-toan
Indiv
4.6%
6.9 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Quản lý Quỹ Đầu tư Pacific Bridge
Inst
3.2%
4.8 trieu
Thomas Joseph Vũ Ngô
Indiv
2.4%
3.6 trieu
Huỳnh Tấn Chung
Indiv
2.0%
3.1 trieu
Lê Thị Kim Ánh
Indiv
1.8%
2.7 trieu
Indochina Capital Vietnam Holdings Ltd.
Inst
0.8%
1.1 trieu
Trần Xuân Hiếu
Indiv
0.1%
200.000
Board & Management
Đinh Ngọc Hiền
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hồ Thị Thu Hồng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Anh Tuấn
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Hạnh
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Ngọc Thủy Tiên
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Trần Quang Thái
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Đình Quyết
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →