VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Cyclicals sector

DHM

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Thương mại & Khai thác Khoáng sản Dương Hiếu
Tài nguyên Cơ bản/Khai khoángCT
7.100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
4.250
Current
7.100
Gap
-40.1%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTTài nguyên Cơ bảnCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Tài nguyên Cơ bản" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA29.01B
Fair EV/EBITDA16.1x
Years of data7
2
Valuation
Mid-Cycle EBITDA
29.01B
x
Fair EV/EBITDA
16.1x
-
Net Debt
319.28B
=
Equity Value
4.250
Years of data7

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DHM

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

48
Weak
Accrual Quality
47
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
38
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-3.16
Low Risk
DSRI
1.440
GMI
0.591
AQI
0.886
SGI
0.877
DEPI
0.869
SGAI
0.706
TATA
-0.151
LVGI
1.122

The Beneish M-Score of -3.1554 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 47.8/100, particularly low scores in receivables and revenue metrics, raise concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 47.8/100 indicates potential issues with earnings sustainability, especially with receivables at 0.0/100.
  • DSRI at 1.4402 suggests that inventory growth is outpacing revenue growth, which could indicate overproduction or inventory mismanagement.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -3.1554 suggests a low likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash flow generation relative to earnings.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders are individual investors with significant stakes, which may lead to potential governance risks and lack of institutional oversight. The largest shareholder holds 20.1%, which could lead to concentrated decision-making.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor the company's inventory management and receivables collection practices. Consider a cautious approach to investment until improvements in earnings quality metrics are observed.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.67
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-1.03
Negative
Composite
25
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-23.2%
Volatility
20.8%
Max Drawdown
-25.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
37.39P/E
P/B0.68
P/S0.08
ROE1.8%
ROA0.6%
EPS189.88
BVPS10476.23
Gross Margin1.3%
Net Margin0.2%
D/E2.51
Current Ratio1.14
Rev Growth-12.3%
Profit Growth136.3%
EV/EBITDA15.91
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
34.5M
Charter Capital
345.4B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Tài nguyên Cơ bản
Industry (ICB L3)
Khai khoáng
Sub-industry
Khai khoáng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DHM — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Nguyễn Thị Dung
Indiv
20.1%
6.9 trieu
Trịnh Gia Tùng
Indiv
7.4%
2.6 trieu
Trương Quang Thắng
Indiv
5.0%
1.7 trieu
Lê Thanh Tuấn
Indiv
5.0%
1.6 trieu
Tạ Ngọc Phước
Indiv
4.9%
1.2 trieu
Trần Thị Tường Vi
Indiv
4.8%
1.2 trieu
Trần Thị Lan
Indiv
4.7%
1.1 trieu
Nguyễn Hữu Hòa
Indiv
4.4%
1.1 trieu
Dương Thị Thúy Hà
Indiv
4.3%
1.5 trieu
Đào Văn Hồng
Indiv
4.2%
1.1 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Thương mại và Xuất - Nhập khẩu Hưng Nhật
Inst
4.0%
1.3 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Đầu Tư Thailand
Inst
3.2%
998.780
Nguyễn Vôn Ga
Indiv
2.6%
615.000
Nguyễn Quang Trung
Indiv
2.0%
480.000
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán AGRIBANK
Inst
1.3%
300.000
Bùi Trung Kiên
Indiv
1.1%
260.000
Tiêu Thị Minh Đức
Indiv
0.8%
190.575
Trần Thị Thịnh
Indiv
0.4%
100.000
Nguyễn Việt Hải
Indiv
0.4%
107.000
La Xuân Dương
Indiv
0.3%
75.000
Nguyễn Thị Hoài Giang
Indiv
0.3%
80.250
Hoàng Thị Hồng Hạnh
Indiv
0.1%
32.100
Board & Management
Lê Thanh Tuấn5.0%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Hoàng Thị Hồng Hạnh0.1%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Trần Thanh Tùng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Quỳnh
Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Lê Thị Mai Anh
Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Dương Hữu Hiếu
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Mạnh Hùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Ngọc Hân
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Thanh Hương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Hồng Loan
Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Hà Huy Thuyết
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Thị Oanh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →