HPD
UtilitiesValuation Breakdown
The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HPD
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
The Beneish M-Score of -2.934 suggests that HPD is not likely to be manipulating earnings, as it falls below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the high SGAI of 2.9326 and low revenue quality score of 0.0/100 raise concerns about potential revenue recognition issues and operational efficiency.
- SGAI of 2.9326 indicates excessive selling, which may point to inefficiencies in managing selling expenses.
- Revenue quality score of 0.0/100 suggests significant issues in revenue recognition, potentially impacting financial reliability.
- Earnings Quality Score of 73.4/100 indicates a generally strong earnings quality, particularly with cash conversion and receivables metrics both at 100.0/100.
The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with the top two shareholders (state and institutional) holding 130.1% of shares, indicating potential governance risks and lack of minority shareholder influence.
Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and operational efficiency metrics, while considering the concentrated ownership structure as a potential governance risk.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for HPD — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate