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Cyclicals sector

DTI

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Đức Trung
Du lịch và Giải trí/Du lịch & Giải tríCT
2.100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
7.055
Current
2.100
Gap
+235.9%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTDu lịch và Giải tríCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Du lịch và Giải trí" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Equity Value Bvps Floor
BVPS
10.078
x
Discount
70%
=
Floor Value
10.078

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DTI

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

52
Fair
Accrual Quality
73
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
66
Revenue Quality
36

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.19
High Risk
DSRI
1.044
GMI
3.422
AQI
0.547
SGI
0.967
DEPI
0.833
SGAI
0.764
TATA
0.067
LVGI
1.462

DTI exhibits several concerning financial metrics that suggest potential earnings manipulation, particularly indicated by a Beneish M-Score of -1.1903, which is above the manipulation threshold. The earnings quality score of 52.2/100, combined with a low cash conversion rate, raises additional red flags regarding the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.1903, indicating potential earnings manipulation as it is above the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 52.2/100, with a cash conversion score of 0.0/100, suggesting significant issues in converting earnings into cash.
  • DSRI of 1.0443 indicates rising receivables relative to sales, which could signal aggressive revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • Receivables quality score of 100.0/100 suggests strong management of receivables, indicating that the company is effective in collecting owed amounts.
  • SGI of 0.9669 indicates that sales growth is in line with the industry, which may suggest stable demand for DTI's products.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is fragmented with no single shareholder holding a controlling stake, which may lead to governance challenges and potential conflicts of interest among shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor DTI's cash flow and earnings quality metrics, and consider a cautious approach to investment until further clarity on financial practices is provided. Engaging with management for transparency on revenue recognition policies may also be prudent.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
2/9
Weak
Z-Score
1.49
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.13
Negative
Composite
57
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-4.2%
Volatility
52.1%
Max Drawdown
-40.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
132.89P/E
P/B0.21
P/S0.05
ROE0.2%
ROA0.1%
EPS16.18
BVPS10078.30
Gross Margin0.1%
Net Margin0.0%
D/E2.55
Current Ratio1.21
Rev Growth-3.3%
Profit Growth24.1%
EV/EBITDA-1752.36
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
13.5M
Charter Capital
134.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Du lịch và Giải trí
Industry (ICB L3)
Du lịch & Giải trí
Sub-industry
Khách sạn
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DTI — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Trần Đăng Quân
Indiv
8.3%
1.1 trieu
Nguyễn Đức Trung
Indiv
5.0%
570.900
Phạm Văn Minh
Indiv
4.7%
635.862
Đoàn Thị Quỳnh Trang
Indiv
4.7%
635.378
Tạ Thị Dinh
Indiv
4.6%
617.279
Tạ Ngọc Phúc
Indiv
2.9%
390.294
Tạ Thị Vui
Indiv
2.7%
358.784
Vũ Vân Anh
Indiv
0.6%
78.050
Trần Thị Thanh Bình
Indiv
0.4%
57.868
Nguyễn Thị Hoàng
Indiv
0.1%
15.570
Board & Management
Nguyễn Đức Trung5.0%
Phó Giám đốc
Trần Thị Thanh Bình0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Thùy Trang
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Thị Kim Oanh
Giám đốc
Nguyễn Duy Tâm
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Bùi Văn Bình
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Hồng
Kế toán trưởng
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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