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Utilities sector

S4A

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Thủy điện Sê San 4A
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Sản xuất & Phân phối ĐiệnCT
34.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
55.177
Current
34.000
Gap
+62.3%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend2.25%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS2.900
Payout ratio98.9%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
2.900
Base Growth
2.25%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
55.177
Value Decomposition
26%
74%
Explicit period (26%)Terminal value (74%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — S4A

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

62
Fair
Accrual Quality
90
Cash Conversion
65
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
57
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2018

-2.07
Moderate
DSRI
1.532
GMI
1.023
AQI
0.959
SGI
1.075
DEPI
0.945
SGAI
1.031
TATA
-0.027
LVGI
1.000

S4A exhibits several concerning financial indicators, particularly a Beneish M-Score of -2.0654, which suggests a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the company shows weaknesses in revenue quality and margin metrics, indicating potential operational inefficiencies.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.0654 indicates potential earnings manipulation risk, as it is below the -1.78 threshold.
  • Revenue quality score of 0.0/100 raises concerns about the reliability of reported revenues.
  • Earnings quality margin score of 41.3/100 suggests significant operational inefficiencies.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 66.1/100 indicates reasonable overall earnings quality.
  • High accrual score of 89.2/100 and cash conversion score of 100.0/100 suggest strong cash flow management.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, Công Ty Trách Nhiệm Hữu Hạn 30-4 Gia Lai, holds a dominant 51.8% stake, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest given the concentration of power.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor operational performance and revenue recognition practices. Consider a cautious approach to investment until clearer signals of sustainable profitability emerge.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.93
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.06
Negative
Composite
57
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-1.3%
Volatility
25.3%
Max Drawdown
-13.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
9.79P/E
P/B2.38
P/S4.37
ROE25.3%
ROA14.0%
EPS3453.36
BVPS14192.82
Gross Margin58.9%
Net Margin44.6%
D/E0.75
Current Ratio1.22
Rev Growth31.8%
Profit Growth65.4%
EV/EBITDA6.84
Div Yield4.4%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
42.2M
Charter Capital
422.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Sub-industry
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for S4A — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công Ty Trách Nhiệm Hữu Hạn 30-4 Gia Lai
Inst
51.8%
21.9 trieu
Công ty TNHH Vĩnh Hiệp
Inst
11.5%
4.8 trieu
CÔNG TY TNHH MTV Trung Sơn Gia Lai
Inst
5.2%
2.2 trieu
Nguyễn An
Indiv
3.7%
1.6 trieu
Nguyễn Bình
Indiv
1.8%
770.794
Lê Vũ Dạ Uyên
Indiv
1.1%
461.475
Thái Thị Mịn
Indiv
1.0%
422.000
Nguyễn Kiệm
Indiv
0.8%
356.000
Nguyễn Thị Lập
Indiv
0.7%
275.000
Phan Văn Lân
Indiv
0.5%
227.896
Hoàng Thị Miêng
Indiv
0.4%
181.300
Nguyễn Sang
Indiv
0.3%
125.000
nguyen-thanh
Indiv
0.3%
125.000
Đặng Thị Thùy Trang
Indiv
0.2%
100.000
nguyen-thi-hong-hai
Indiv
0.2%
100.000
Đặng Mai Sơn
Indiv
0.2%
86.200
Phạm Văn Minh
Indiv
0.1%
59.500
Board & Management
Nguyễn An3.7%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Bình1.8%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Kiếm0.8%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Văn Lân0.5%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Đặng Mai Sơn0.2%
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Phạm Văn Minh0.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Văn Thuyết
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đỗ Tiên
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Đức Hiển
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Vũ Thị Hậu
Kế toán trưởng
Thái Như Hiệp
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Đài
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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