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Utilities sector

DTK

Utilities
Tổng Công ty Điện lực TKV - Công ty Cổ phần
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Sản xuất & Phân phối ĐiệnCT
11.200
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
9.754
Current
11.200
Gap
-12.9%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend2.94%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS500
Payout ratio54.3%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
500
Base Growth
2.94%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
9.754
Value Decomposition
26%
74%
Explicit period (26%)Terminal value (74%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DTK

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

72
Good
Accrual Quality
64
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
81
Revenue Quality
17

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.83
Low Risk
DSRI
0.716
GMI
1.067
AQI
1.816
SGI
0.993
DEPI
0.901
SGAI
1.157
TATA
-0.090
LVGI
0.950

DTK exhibits a low risk of earnings manipulation, as indicated by a Beneish M-Score of -2.8274, well below the manipulation threshold. The earnings quality score of 72.3/100, particularly strong cash conversion metrics, suggests solid operational performance despite lower revenue quality.

Red Flags
  • Low revenue quality score of 17.3/100 indicates potential issues with revenue recognition or sustainability.
Positive Signals
  • Strong cash conversion score of 100.0/100 reflects efficient cash management and operational effectiveness.
Ownership Risk

The overwhelming majority ownership by Tập đoàn Công nghiệp Than - Khoáng sản Việt Nam (99.3%) suggests a stable governance structure but raises concerns about minority shareholder influence and potential lack of transparency.

Recommendation

Monitor revenue recognition practices closely due to the low revenue quality score, while leveraging the positive cash conversion metrics for operational insights.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.85
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.25
Negative
Composite
57
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+5.6%
Volatility
46.5%
Max Drawdown
-20.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
11.48P/E
P/B0.86
P/S0.59
ROE7.6%
ROA4.2%
EPS958.06
BVPS12820.50
Gross Margin9.0%
Net Margin5.1%
D/E0.75
Current Ratio1.02
Rev Growth-0.7%
Profit Growth-5.4%
EV/EBITDA5.02
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
682.8M
Charter Capital
6827.7B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Sub-industry
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DTK — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập đoàn Công nghiệp Than - Khoáng sản Việt Nam
Inst
99.3%
677.8 trieu
Hoàng Phó Hiềng
Indiv
0.3%
23.200
Board & Management
Nguyễn Thị Hà
Kế toán trưởng
Bùi Thị Tố Uyên
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Ngô Trí Thịnh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Xuân Phong
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Ngọc Nam
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Đức Pha
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Minh Tân
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Đức Thảo
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Trung Thực
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Thu Thái
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Ngô Văn Điện
Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Đào Thị Hoàng Yến
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Trọng Hùng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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