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Cyclicals sector

NBC

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Than Núi Béo - Vinacomin
Tài nguyên Cơ bản/Khai khoángCT
11.200
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
47.675
Current
11.200
Gap
+325.7%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTTài nguyên Cơ bảnCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Tài nguyên Cơ bản" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA577.27B
Fair EV/EBITDA5.0x
Years of data7
2
Valuation
Mid-Cycle EBITDA
577.27B
x
Fair EV/EBITDA
5.0x
-
Net Debt
1122.40B
=
Equity Value
47.675
Years of data7

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — NBC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

80
Good
Accrual Quality
69
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
29
Revenue Quality
67

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.98
Low Risk
DSRI
0.623
GMI
1.050
AQI
1.506
SGI
0.961
DEPI
1.149
SGAI
1.015
TATA
-0.079
LVGI
0.982

NBC exhibits a low risk of earnings manipulation as indicated by a Beneish M-Score of -2.9789, well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 80.1/100 further supports the reliability of its financial reporting.

Positive Signals
  • The Beneish M-Score of -2.9789 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 80.1/100 suggests strong overall earnings quality, particularly with a perfect cash conversion rate of 100.0/100.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with Tập đoàn Công nghiệp Than - Khoáng sản Việt Nam holding 65.0%. This concentration could pose risks related to governance and decision-making transparency.

Recommendation

Investors should monitor the company's performance closely but can consider it a stable investment given its strong earnings quality metrics and low manipulation risk.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
0.93
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.91
Negative
Composite
68
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-15.3%
Volatility
21.2%
Max Drawdown
-27.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
7.85P/E
P/B0.61
P/S0.12
ROE7.8%
ROA1.6%
EPS1107.68
BVPS14320.07
Gross Margin9.6%
Net Margin1.5%
D/E3.58
Current Ratio0.52
Rev Growth-3.9%
Profit Growth10.5%
EV/EBITDA3.60
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
37.0M
Charter Capital
370.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Tài nguyên Cơ bản
Industry (ICB L3)
Khai khoáng
Sub-industry
Khai thác Than
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for NBC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập đoàn Công nghiệp Than - Khoáng sản Việt Nam
Inst
65.0%
24.0 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Cơ điện Lạnh
Inst
4.3%
1.6 trieu
Vietnam Investment Limited
Inst
3.2%
1.2 trieu
asia value investment limited
Inst
0.9%
330.000
Board & Management
Trương Thúy Mai
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Kế toán trưởng
Đỗ Thị Thanh Huyền
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đặng Văn Ngong
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Tiến Nhương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lưu Anh Đức
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Vũ Thị Dung
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Xuân Phùng
Phó Giám đốc
Vũ Anh Tuấn
Giám đốc điều hành
Ngô Thế Phiệt
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Phạm Công Hương
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Quốc Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc
Phạm Bá Tước
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Tuấn Dũng
Phó Giám đốc Điều hành sản xuất
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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