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Utilities sector

DWC

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Cấp nước Đắk Lắk
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
20.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
20.190
Current
20.000
Gap
+0.9%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend3.90%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS1.000
Payout ratio65.3%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
1.000
Base Growth
3.90%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
20.190
Value Decomposition
25%
75%
Explicit period (25%)Terminal value (75%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DWC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

69
Fair
Accrual Quality
47
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
97

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.89
Low Risk
DSRI
1.098
GMI
0.970
AQI
0.939
SGI
1.169
DEPI
1.544
SGAI
0.978
TATA
-0.147
LVGI
0.956

DWC exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.8895, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, its earnings quality score of 68.8 suggests some concerns, particularly in margin performance, which could impact future profitability.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 68.8 indicates potential issues in margin performance (0.0/100), which may affect overall profitability.
  • SGI of 1.1688 suggests aggressive growth that may not be sustainable, raising concerns about revenue generation.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.8895 indicates low likelihood of earnings manipulation, providing some assurance of financial integrity.
  • High cash conversion (100.0/100) and receivables quality (100.0/100) suggest strong operational efficiency in cash management.
Ownership Risk

The significant state ownership (36.0%) may lead to potential influence over corporate decisions, which could align with public interests but also introduce risks of political interference.

Recommendation

Investors should monitor DWC's margin performance closely and assess the sustainability of its growth strategy. Consider a cautious approach, balancing potential growth against the identified risks.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
1.62
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.38
Positive
Composite
61
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+12.7%
Volatility
60.0%
Max Drawdown
-31.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
7.21P/E
P/B1.38
P/S1.69
ROE20.4%
ROA9.4%
EPS2496.67
BVPS13003.19
Gross Margin59.5%
Net Margin23.4%
D/E1.11
Current Ratio3.04
Rev Growth16.9%
Profit Growth54.4%
EV/EBITDA4.57
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
20.2M
Charter Capital
315.2B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Nước
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DWC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Đắk Lắk
State
36.0%
11.3 trieu
Đỗ Hoàng Phương
Indiv
18.5%
5.8 trieu
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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