GDA
CyclicalsValuation Breakdown
Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — GDA
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
GDA's Beneish M-Score of -1.7167 is just above the manipulation threshold, indicating potential earnings manipulation risks. However, the earnings quality score of 68.5 suggests reasonable financial health, particularly in cash conversion and margin metrics.
- DSRI at 1.6861 indicates increasing receivables relative to sales, which could signal aggressive revenue recognition.
- GMI at 1.1600 suggests declining gross margins, which may indicate potential pricing pressures or cost issues.
- Low eq_revenue score of 0.0/100 raises concerns about the quality of revenue reported.
- High eq_cash_conv score of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash conversion efficiency.
- Strong eq_accrual score of 92.2/100 suggests that earnings are backed by actual cash flows.
The concentrated ownership structure, with the top individual shareholder holding 32.6%, raises governance concerns and potential conflicts of interest, particularly in decision-making processes.
Investors should closely monitor GDA's revenue recognition practices and consider a deeper analysis of cash flow trends. It may be prudent to adopt a cautious approach until further clarity on earnings quality is established.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for GDA — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate