VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Cyclicals sector

DLT

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Du lịch và Thương mại - Vinacomin
Du lịch và Giải trí/Du lịch & Giải tríCT
8.600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
16.534
Current
8.600
Gap
+92.3%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTDu lịch và Giải tríCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Du lịch và Giải trí" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Equity Value Bvps Floor
BVPS
23.620
x
Discount
70%
=
Floor Value
23.620

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DLT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

41
Weak
Accrual Quality
75
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
40
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
2

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-1.73
Elevated
DSRI
1.624
GMI
0.883
AQI
0.906
SGI
1.050
DEPI
0.741
SGAI
1.122
TATA
0.062
LVGI
1.024

The Beneish M-Score of -1.7294 is close to the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating potential earnings manipulation concerns. Additionally, the Earnings Quality Score of 40.8/100 reflects significant weaknesses in cash conversion and revenue recognition, which may further signal risks in financial reporting.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.7294 is near the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating potential earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 40.8/100, particularly low cash conversion score of 0.0/100, raises concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.
Positive Signals
  • Strong institutional ownership with Tập đoàn Công nghiệp Than - Khoáng sản Việt Nam holding 36.0%, which may provide stability and governance oversight.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated with the top three shareholders holding over 56% of the company, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor DLT's financial disclosures and consider a deeper analysis of cash flow and revenue recognition practices before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
2.55
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.47
Positive
Composite
67
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+143.5%
Volatility
119.6%
Max Drawdown
-41.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
9.83P/E
P/B0.36
P/S0.01
ROE8.0%
ROA0.9%
EPS1880.04
BVPS23619.77
Gross Margin13.0%
Net Margin0.3%
D/E9.10
Current Ratio1.04
Rev Growth5.0%
Profit Growth-5.4%
EV/EBITDA6.83
Div Yield9.3%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
2.5M
Charter Capital
25.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Du lịch và Giải trí
Industry (ICB L3)
Du lịch & Giải trí
Sub-industry
Vận tải hành khách & Du lịch
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DLT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập đoàn Công nghiệp Than - Khoáng sản Việt Nam
Inst
36.0%
900.021
Công ty Cổ Phần Lốp Xe Việt
Inst
15.0%
375.000
Đặng Quỳnh Tiên
Indiv
8.8%
219.213
Nguyễn Quỳnh Phương
Indiv
7.0%
174.463
Nguyễn Mạnh Toàn
Indiv
5.5%
137.923
nguyen-thanh-tung
Indiv
1.8%
44.392
Bùi Thanh Trường
Indiv
1.3%
31.324
Bùi Thanh Hùng
Indiv
0.8%
20.751
Phan Thành Chung
Indiv
0.8%
20.500
Phan Thị Hằng
Indiv
0.7%
18.504
Nguyễn Thị Kim Oanh
Indiv
0.6%
15.254
nguyen-thanh-trung
Indiv
0.6%
14.539
Trịnh Đăng Thuận
Indiv
0.4%
10.169
Trần Tất Thành
Indiv
0.4%
10.016
Trần Thị Ngọc Uyển
Indiv
0.4%
9.059
Nguyễn Trung Tuyến
Indiv
0.3%
6.537
Đặng Thị Hường
Indiv
0.2%
5.492
Ngô Thị Minh
Indiv
0.1%
3.841
Vương Ngọc Quảng
Indiv
0.1%
3.196
Board & Management
Nguyễn Quỳnh Phương7.0%
Phó Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Mạnh Toàn5.5%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thanh Tùng1.8%
Phó Giám đốc
Phan Thành Chung0.8%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
PHAN THỊ HẰNG0.7%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Thị Kim Oanh0.6%
Phó Giám đốc
Trần Tất Thành0.4%
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Trung Tuyến0.3%
Phó Giám đốc
Trần Thế Thành
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Đoan Trang
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Hoàng Văn Kiệm
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Lương Anh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →