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Cyclicals sector

IME

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Cơ khí và Xây lắp Công nghiệp
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Công nghiệp nặngCT
50.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
37.573
Current
50.500
Gap
-25.6%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA3.21B
Fair EV/EBITDA45.0x
Years of data7
2
Valuation
Mid-Cycle EBITDA
3.21B
x
Fair EV/EBITDA
45.0x
-
Net Debt
9.43B
=
Equity Value
37.573
Years of data7

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — IME

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

8
Poor
Accrual Quality
19
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
24
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2020

-1.93
Moderate
DSRI
1.382
GMI
0.111
AQI
2.053
SGI
0.939
DEPI
0.799
SGAI
0.950
TATA
0.051
LVGI
0.776

The Beneish M-Score of -1.9291 indicates a potential risk of earnings manipulation, as it exceeds the threshold of -1.78. Additionally, the Earnings Quality Score of 23.9/100 highlights significant weaknesses in cash conversion and revenue recognition, raising concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.9291 exceeds the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating potential earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 23.9/100 suggests severe issues with cash conversion and revenue recognition, with scores of 0.0/100 in eq_cash_conv, eq_receivables, eq_margin, and eq_revenue.
Positive Signals
  • The DSRI of 1.3820 indicates that inventory growth is relatively controlled compared to sales, which can be a positive sign in managing operational efficiency.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is concentrated, with the top three shareholders holding 66.4% of the shares, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest, especially with significant individual ownership.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly focusing on cash flow and revenue recognition practices before considering any investment in IME.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
7.91
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-1.48
Negative
Composite
12
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-40.0%
Volatility
84.9%
Max Drawdown
-64.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
41.70P/E
P/B6.87
P/S2.58
ROE18.1%
ROA9.7%
EPS2028.40
BVPS12239.81
Gross Margin19.4%
Net Margin6.2%
D/E0.76
Current Ratio2.09
Rev Growth-31.5%
Profit Growth4.5%
EV/EBITDA41.55
Div Yield0.6%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
3.6M
Charter Capital
36.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Công nghiệp nặng
Sub-industry
Máy công nghiệp
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for IME — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công Ty TNHH Một Thành Viên Cơ Khí Sa Be Co
Inst
26.0%
936.000
Nguyễn Thị Huệ
Indiv
23.6%
848.700
Công ty CP An Hiền
Inst
16.4%
588.484
Vũ Thị Hoa
Indiv
7.9%
283.492
nguyen-thanh-trung
Indiv
5.1%
184.200
Nguyễn Xuân Hải
Indiv
3.1%
112.632
Nguyễn Quốc Bình
Indiv
1.5%
54.188
Nguyễn Thị Nga
Indiv
0.1%
5.324
Board & Management
Nguyễn Thành Trung5.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đinh Văn Hanh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát/Giám đốc Nhà máy
Nguyễn Thị Long Châu
Giám đốc Tài chính/Kế toán trưởng/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Vũ Thanh Phương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Sơn Hà
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Sơn
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Đoàn Minh Toàn
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Loan
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thanh Liêm
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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