HDP
ConsumerValuation Breakdown
A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HDP
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2024
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2024
HDP exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.0644, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant concerns, particularly with a revenue quality score of 0.0/100, suggesting potential issues in revenue recognition.
- Revenue quality score of 0.0/100 indicates potential aggressive revenue recognition practices.
- Beneish M-Score of -2.0644, while below the manipulation threshold, suggests close monitoring is warranted.
- Earnings Quality Score of 73.4/100 reflects generally strong cash conversion and receivables management.
- DSRI of 0.8278 indicates that inventory levels are well managed relative to sales.
The ownership structure is concentrated among a few individuals, which can lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest, especially in a market with prevalent SOE mandates.
Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider a deeper analysis of cash flow statements. Given the concentrated ownership, engagement with management regarding governance practices is advisable.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for HDP — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate