VGS
CyclicalsValuation Breakdown
Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VGS
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
VGS exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -3.4119, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality score of 71.3 reveals significant weaknesses in revenue and margin quality, which could pose risks in financial reporting.
- Earnings quality metrics show a very low eq_margin of 15.9/100 and eq_revenue of 11.8/100, indicating potential issues with profitability and revenue recognition.
- The cash conversion score is perfect at 100.0/100, suggesting strong cash flow generation relative to earnings.
The ownership structure is concentrated with the top individual shareholders holding a significant 44.7% of shares, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.
Investors should closely monitor VGS's earnings quality metrics and consider the implications of concentrated ownership before making investment decisions.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for VGS — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate