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Construction sector

HU4

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư và Xây dựng HUD4
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
10.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
157.741
Current
10.500
Gap
+500.0%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
28.98%
+
Kd(1-t)
4.44%
x
D/(D+E)
71.02%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
30.109
50%DCF Value
285.374
Blended Intrinsic
157.741
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HU4

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

45
Weak
Accrual Quality
0
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-3.49
Low Risk
DSRI
0.350
GMI
1.541
AQI
1.286
SGI
3.150
DEPI
1.453
SGAI
0.746
TATA
-0.613
LVGI
0.868

The Beneish M-Score of -3.4866 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the high SGI of 3.1502 and low earnings quality score of 45.0/100 raise concerns about growth sustainability and earnings reliability.

Red Flags
  • SGI of 3.1502 suggests aggressive growth that may not be supported by underlying fundamentals.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 45.0/100 indicates significant issues with earnings reliability, particularly with eq_margin and eq_revenue both scoring 0.0.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -3.4866 suggests low likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • High cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash flow generation relative to earnings.
Ownership Risk

The dominant ownership by Tổng Công ty Đầu tư Phát triển Nhà và Đô thị at 51.0% suggests potential for aligned interests but also raises concerns about minority shareholder influence and governance.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor the company's growth strategies and earnings quality metrics, while considering a cautious approach due to elevated risks associated with aggressive growth and low earnings reliability.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.05
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.31
Negative
Composite
55
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-9.4%
Volatility
32.4%
Max Drawdown
-29.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
6.21P/E
P/B0.76
P/S0.34
ROE12.8%
ROA4.2%
EPS1809.16
BVPS14701.05
Gross Margin35.7%
Net Margin5.5%
D/E1.61
Current Ratio2.18
Rev Growth215.0%
Profit Growth95.6%
EV/EBITDA1.86
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
15.0M
Charter Capital
150.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for HU4 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Đầu tư Phát triển Nhà và Đô thị
Inst
51.0%
7.7 trieu
Lê Thị Minh Ngọc
Indiv
1.1%
159.500
Nguyễn Thị Tuất
Indiv
0.9%
134.510
Lê Quang Hiệp
Indiv
0.9%
130.900
Hoàng Anh Tuấn
Indiv
0.5%
81.859
Hoàng Đình Thắng
Indiv
0.5%
69.130
Đồng Phạm Bình
Indiv
0.4%
58.400
Nguyễn Văn Huyên
Indiv
0.4%
58.000
Phan Công Bình
Indiv
0.3%
42.000
Lê Thị Mậu
Indiv
0.3%
41.470
Nguyễn Thị Hòa
Indiv
0.2%
29.000
Hoàng Trọng Hải
Indiv
0.2%
29.195
Lê Quốc Khánh
Indiv
0.2%
29.000
nguyen-viet-hung
Indiv
0.2%
25.400
Lê Đỗ Thắng
Indiv
0.1%
20.700
Nguyễn Thị Nhàn
Indiv
0.1%
20.280
Board & Management
LÊ QUANG HIỆP0.9%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Anh Tuấn0.5%
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Huyên0.4%
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Việt Hùng0.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Lê Đỗ Thắng0.1%
Phó Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Nhan0.1%
Kế toán trưởng
Hoàng Quốc Đạt
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Thúy
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Yên
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thị Quỳnh Hoa
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Hoa
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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