HLT
ConsumerValuation Breakdown
A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HLT
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2024
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2024
The Beneish M-Score of -4.0067 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 31.8/100, particularly the low cash conversion metric of 10.9/100, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.
- Earnings Quality Score of 31.8/100 indicates poor earnings quality, particularly with cash conversion at only 10.9/100.
- SGAI at 1.2446 suggests aggressive spending on sales and marketing, which may not translate into revenue.
- Beneish M-Score of -4.0067 suggests low likelihood of earnings manipulation.
- Receivables quality score of 100.0/100 indicates effective management of accounts receivable.
The top shareholders are all individuals, which may lead to concentrated control and potential governance risks, particularly in decision-making processes.
Investors should closely monitor cash flow performance and consider the implications of ownership concentration on corporate governance. A cautious approach is recommended until earnings quality improves.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for HLT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate