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Construction sector

TVG

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Tư vấn Đầu tư và Xây dựng Giao thông Vận tải
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
16.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
25.801
Current
16.000
Gap
+61.3%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
32.13%
+
Kd(1-t)
3.03%
x
D/(D+E)
67.87%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend2.37%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
14.827
50%DCF Value
36.775
Blended Intrinsic
25.801
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — TVG

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

22
Poor
Accrual Quality
90
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2019

-2.54
Low Risk
DSRI
1.128
GMI
1.035
AQI
0.379
SGI
1.001
DEPI
0.989
SGAI
1.094
TATA
0.013
LVGI
0.972

The Beneish M-Score of -2.539 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 57.1/100, particularly low cash conversion and revenue metrics, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 57.1/100, with cash conversion at only 40.0/100, indicating potential issues in converting earnings to cash.
  • Low revenue quality score of 23.1/100 suggests that reported revenues may not be reliable.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.539 suggests a low likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • High accrual quality score of 94.6/100 indicates strong management of accruals.
Ownership Risk

The concentrated ownership structure, with the top four shareholders holding over 94% of the shares, poses a risk of governance issues and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow metrics and revenue recognition practices. Consider a cautious approach until improvements in earnings quality and cash conversion are demonstrated.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
0.86
Distress Zone
Sharpe
2.42
Excellent
Composite
56
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+70.6%
Volatility
46.0%
Max Drawdown
0.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
562.86P/E
P/B1.07
P/S1.40
ROE0.2%
ROA0.1%
EPS28.43
BVPS14975.17
Gross Margin45.5%
Net Margin0.2%
D/E2.05
Current Ratio1.55
Rev Growth-31.8%
Profit Growth-64.9%
EV/EBITDA18.85
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
2.0M
Charter Capital
20.3B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for TVG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Đỗ Thị Minh Hải
Indiv
24.9%
506.244
nguyen-du
Indiv
24.9%
506.244
Nguyễn Thanh Trọng
Indiv
24.3%
493.204
Hồ Việt Hưng
Indiv
20.0%
405.918
Nguyễn Doãn Bình
Indiv
16.6%
337.055
Đặng Tuấn Cường
Indiv
4.9%
100.000
Tổng Công ty Đường sắt Việt Nam
Inst
4.9%
100.000
Đào Thị Hạnh
Indiv
1.8%
36.665
Nguyễn Trường Thành
Indiv
1.7%
33.560
Phạm Minh Huấn
Indiv
1.6%
31.506
Phạm Mỹ Hạnh
Indiv
0.4%
7.670
Trần Thiện Cảnh
Indiv
0.3%
6.018
Nguyễn Tất Vinh
Indiv
0.2%
4.495
nguyen-thanh-tinh
Indiv
0.2%
3.200
nguyen-tien-cong
Indiv
0.1%
2.950
nguyen-anh-tuan
Indiv
0.1%
2.950
Vũ Quang Huy
Indiv
0.1%
2.016
Board & Management
Đặng Tuấn Cường4.9%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Trường Thành1.7%
Tổng Giám đốc/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Vũ Quang Huy0.1%
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Lan Phương
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Công Phú
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Viết Hùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thúy Hảo
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đỗ Văn Hạt
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Đặng Anh Hào
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Hữu Hưởng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Thành Đoàn
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Bạch Diệp
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Kế toán trưởng
Vũ Văn Hiệp
Phó Tổng Giám đốc Kỹ thuật
Đặng Thị Hoàn
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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