VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Real Estate sector

HU6

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Phát triển Nhà và Đô thị HUD6
Bất động sảnCT
4.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
6.121
Current
4.000
Gap
+53.0%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
76.89%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.68%
x
D/(D+E)
23.11%
=
WACC
11.77%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
12.910
60%DCF Value
1.595
Blended Intrinsic
6.121
Value Decomposition
38%
62%
Explicit period (38%)Terminal value (62%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HU6

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

25
Poor
Accrual Quality
68
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
53
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2020

-4.79
Low Risk
DSRI
0.241
GMI
0.977
AQI
1.281
SGI
0.721
DEPI
1.870
SGAI
1.131
TATA
-0.367
LVGI
0.469

HU6 exhibits significant red flags indicating potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -4.7902, well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 26.1/100 further highlights severe concerns regarding revenue recognition and margin quality.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -4.7902 indicates strong likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 26.1/100, with eq_margin and eq_revenue both at 0.0/100, suggests severe issues in revenue recognition and profitability.
  • Low DSRI of 0.2410 may indicate aggressive revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • Cash conversion rate of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash flow relative to earnings.
  • SGI of 0.7214 suggests that the company is not aggressively expanding, which may mitigate some operational risks.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with 51.0% held by a single institutional investor, which may pose risks related to governance and minority shareholder rights.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence before considering an investment in HU6, particularly focusing on the company's revenue recognition practices and governance structure.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
2/9
Weak
Z-Score
1.73
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.41
Negative
Composite
32
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-20.0%
Volatility
58.9%
Max Drawdown
-48.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
1180.73P/E
P/B0.46
P/S15.07
ROE0.0%
ROA0.0%
EPS3.98
BVPS10327.73
Gross Margin79.2%
Net Margin1.3%
D/E0.31
Current Ratio3.99
Rev Growth-18.4%
Profit Growth-51.5%
EV/EBITDA147.47
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
7.5M
Charter Capital
75.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for HU6 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Đầu tư Phát triển Nhà và Đô thị
Inst
51.0%
3.8 trieu
Công ty CP Đầu Tư Phát Triển Hợp Phú
Inst
4.0%
300.000
Công ty Cổ Phần Tư Vấn Đầu Tư Và Xây Dựng Hud - Cic
Inst
2.0%
150.000
Công ty Cổ Phần Tập Đoàn Đầu Tư Quang Minh
Inst
1.4%
106.600
Nguyễn Thị Tuyến
Indiv
0.7%
54.750
Trương Thanh Huy
Indiv
0.6%
47.250
Vũ Văn Sáng
Indiv
0.2%
17.250
Đào Ngọc Lan
Indiv
0.2%
17.250
Nguyễn Xuân Thảo
Indiv
0.2%
14.250
Ngô Liên Hương
Indiv
0.2%
13.500
Hoàng Đức Phương
Indiv
0.2%
12.750
Board & Management
Trương Thanh Huy0.6%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Xuân Thảo0.2%
Phó Giám đốc
Ngô Liên Hương0.2%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Đức Phương0.2%
Phó Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thị Như Trang
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thị Hạnh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thu Hằng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Hồng Lâm
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Huy Hạnh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Hoài An
Kế toán trưởng
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →