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Construction sector

STP

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Công nghiệp Thương mại Sông Đà
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Hàng công nghiệpCT
7.600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
17.641
Current
7.600
Gap
+132.1%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
80.07%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.35%
x
D/(D+E)
19.93%
=
WACC
11.03%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.46%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
8.909
50%DCF Value
26.374
Blended Intrinsic
17.641
Value Decomposition
39%
61%
Explicit period (39%)Terminal value (61%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — STP

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

79
Good
Accrual Quality
82
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
71
Revenue Quality
21

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.81
Low Risk
DSRI
0.904
GMI
0.838
AQI
1.051
SGI
0.993
DEPI
0.955
SGAI
1.283
TATA
-0.044
LVGI
0.723

The Beneish M-Score of -2.8092 indicates that STP is unlikely to be manipulating earnings, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the low revenue quality score of 21.1/100 raises concerns about the sustainability of reported revenues.

Red Flags
  • Revenue quality score of 21.1/100 indicates significant concerns regarding the reliability of revenue recognition.
  • SGAI of 1.2826 suggests that selling, general, and administrative expenses are growing faster than sales, which could indicate inefficiencies.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 79.3/100 reflects relatively strong overall earnings quality, particularly in cash conversion (100.0/100) and receivables (100.0/100).
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.8092 suggests a low likelihood of earnings manipulation.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is relatively fragmented with no single shareholder holding a controlling stake, which may lead to potential governance issues and lack of strategic direction.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and expense management while considering a cautious approach to investment in STP due to the identified risks.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
3.71
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.46
Negative
Composite
65
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-9.5%
Volatility
29.0%
Max Drawdown
-22.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
7.72P/E
P/B0.43
P/S0.31
ROE5.6%
ROA4.6%
EPS984.96
BVPS17678.82
Gross Margin14.5%
Net Margin4.1%
D/E0.17
Current Ratio5.50
Rev Growth-0.7%
Profit Growth28.5%
EV/EBITDA4.20
Div Yield10.5%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
8.0M
Charter Capital
80.5B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng công nghiệp
Sub-industry
Containers & Đóng gói
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for STP — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Nguyễn Trọng Trung
Indiv
7.8%
627.388
Nguyễn Trọng Lợi
Indiv
7.4%
592.078
Nguyễn Thị Ngoãn
Indiv
5.0%
401.844
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu Tư Nam Anh - Invest
Inst
5.0%
400.000
Nguyễn Thị Tuyến
Indiv
5.0%
347.817
Vũ Thị Lộc
Indiv
5.0%
399.523
Nguyễn Trọng San
Indiv
4.9%
397.407
Vũ Thị Kim Tuyến
Indiv
4.0%
318.983
Đinh Thị Yến
Indiv
2.6%
210.455
Nguyễn Quang Thiều
Indiv
2.3%
181.444
Đặng Văn Phúc
Indiv
1.9%
134.780
Nguyễn Trọng Giang
Indiv
1.2%
100.177
Trần Đức Uyên
Indiv
0.9%
57.300
Phan Văn Tâm
Indiv
0.3%
16.200
Phan Phúc Thủy
Indiv
0.2%
9.100
Nguyễn Trọng Trãi
Indiv
0.1%
11.186
Phạm Thị Bé
Indiv
0.1%
7.900
Nguyễn Tuấn Hồng
Indiv
0.1%
9.918
Board & Management
Nguyễn Trọng Lợi7.4%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Trọng San4.9%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Quang Thiều2.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Trọng Trãi0.1%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Thúy Quỳnh
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Đỗ Văn Hách
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị An
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phùng Thị Huyền
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Bùi Minh Tuấn
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Tuấn Quân
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Hồng Minh
Kế toán trưởng
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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