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Consumer sector

LAF

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Chế biến Hàng Xuất khẩu Long An
Thực phẩm và đồ uống/Sản xuất thực phẩmCT
17.300
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
76.302
Current
17.300
Gap
+341.1%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTThực phẩm và đồ uốngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Thực phẩm và đồ uống" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
66.76%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.33%
x
D/(D+E)
33.24%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.46%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF81.84B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
81.84B
Growth Rate
4.46%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
76.302
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — LAF

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

34
Weak
Accrual Quality
19
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
63
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-0.43
High Risk
DSRI
1.589
GMI
1.436
AQI
0.818
SGI
1.322
DEPI
1.165
SGAI
0.609
TATA
0.259
LVGI
1.722

LAF exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -0.4333, which is above the manipulation threshold. The earnings quality score of 34.2/100, driven by low accrual and cash conversion metrics, further raises red flags regarding the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -0.4333 indicates potential earnings manipulation, as it is above the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 34.2/100, with an accrual score of only 18.8/100 and cash conversion score of 0.0/100, suggests significant issues in earnings reliability.
Positive Signals
  • Receivables quality score of 100.0/100 indicates strong management of receivables, which could imply effective collection processes.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn PAN holding 77.9%, which may limit minority shareholder influence and raise concerns about governance and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly focusing on cash flow statements and operational metrics, before considering an investment in LAF.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
2/9
Weak
Z-Score
2.38
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.11
Negative
Composite
49
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-4.0%
Volatility
26.0%
Max Drawdown
-26.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
7.55P/E
P/B1.18
P/S0.49
ROE15.9%
ROA8.4%
EPS2634.95
BVPS16926.16
Gross Margin15.4%
Net Margin6.5%
D/E1.27
Current Ratio1.37
Rev Growth32.9%
Profit Growth-10.7%
EV/EBITDA7.32
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
15.2M
Charter Capital
152.3B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất thực phẩm
Sub-industry
Thực phẩm
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for LAF — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn PAN
Inst
77.9%
11.9 trieu
Công ty TNHH Đầu Tư Ndh
Inst
7.5%
1.1 trieu
Nguyễn Nhựt Quang
Indiv
5.0%
733.440
Nguyễn Thị Thu Quế
Indiv
4.5%
659.370
New-S Securities Company Limited
Inst
4.0%
593.983
Phan Ngọc Sơn
Indiv
4.0%
611.200
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán Vietinbank
Inst
1.8%
270.129
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Phương
Indiv
1.1%
169.200
Nguyễn Văn Khải
Indiv
0.7%
105.000
Huỳnh Thị Ngọc Mỹ
Indiv
0.6%
84.600
nguyen-nhu-song
Indiv
0.5%
76.667
nguyen-thi-le-dung
Indiv
0.5%
69.692
Lê Hữu Phương
Indiv
0.5%
67.433
Nguyễn Văn Chiểu
Indiv
0.3%
50.999
Dư Trường Linh
Indiv
0.3%
49.500
Đoàn Văn Đông
Indiv
0.2%
32.629
Châu Văn Đức
Indiv
0.2%
30.007
Trương Thị Phượng Linh
Indiv
0.2%
29.200
Citigroup Global Market Ltd
Inst
0.1%
21.830
Nguyễn Thái Hạnh Linh
Indiv
0.1%
20.500
Quỹ Đầu Tư Thành Viên SSI
Inst
0.1%
15.000
Board & Management
Phan Ngọc Sơn4.0%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Khải0.7%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Dư Trường Linh0.3%
Kế toán trưởng
Trương Thị Phượng Linh0.2%
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Nguyễn Thái Hạnh Linh0.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đinh Thị Hải Yến
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Kim Lân
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Duy Tuân
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Ngô Thị Kim Phụng
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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