VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Consumer sector

PAN

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn PAN
Thực phẩm và đồ uống/Sản xuất thực phẩmCT
30.150
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
687.300
Current
30.150
Gap
+500.0%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTThực phẩm và đồ uốngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Thực phẩm và đồ uống" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
41.33%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.85%
x
D/(D+E)
58.67%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.88%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF8654.92B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
8654.92B
Growth Rate
3.88%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
687.300
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PAN

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

59
Fair
Accrual Quality
0
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
95
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-4.06
Low Risk
DSRI
1.248
GMI
1.091
AQI
1.636
SGI
1.087
DEPI
0.946
SGAI
0.862
TATA
-0.495
LVGI
0.671

The Beneish M-Score of -4.058 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is significantly below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 59.2/100, particularly the low accrual and revenue metrics, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 59.2/100, with eq_accrual at 0.0/100 and eq_revenue at 0.0/100, indicating potential issues with revenue recognition and earnings sustainability.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -4.058 suggests low likelihood of earnings manipulation, which is a positive signal for investors.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders are predominantly institutional, with the largest holding at 12.8%. This structure may provide stability; however, the concentration of ownership among a few entities could lead to governance risks.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor earnings reports for consistency and consider the implications of low accrual and revenue quality metrics before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.47
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.41
Positive
Composite
70
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+6.6%
Volatility
27.9%
Max Drawdown
-27.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
10.17P/E
P/B1.28
P/S0.39
ROE12.9%
ROA3.4%
EPS3107.94
BVPS24695.22
Gross Margin19.1%
Net Margin3.8%
D/E0.73
Current Ratio1.79
Rev Growth7.5%
Profit Growth10.4%
EV/EBITDA4.46
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
216.3M
Charter Capital
2162.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất thực phẩm
Sub-industry
Thực phẩm
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PAN — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán SSI
Inst
12.8%
26.6 trieu
Công ty TNHH Đầu Tư Ndh
Inst
11.4%
23.8 trieu
Công ty TNHH Ndh Việt Nam
Inst
10.8%
11.0 trieu
The Asian Entrepreneur Legacy (TAEL)
Indiv
9.7%
8.1 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần PAN Farm
Inst
7.1%
15.4 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần CSC Việt Nam
Inst
5.0%
10.4 trieu
Government Of Singapore
State
5.0%
5.0 trieu
PYN Elite Fund
Inst
4.5%
9.4 trieu
Công ty TNHH Bất Động Sản Sài Gòn Đan Linh
Inst
2.8%
5.8 trieu
Công ty TNHH Nguyễn Sài Gòn
Inst
1.8%
3.7 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Đường Mặt Trời
Inst
1.6%
1.3 trieu
Bùi Thanh Vân
Indiv
0.8%
675.000
Quỹ tầm nhìn SSI
Inst
0.6%
526.220
nguyen-duy-hung
Indiv
0.6%
1.2 trieu
Nguyễn Văn Khải
Indiv
0.5%
682.000
Nguyễn Thị Trà My
Indiv
0.5%
970.266
nguyen-khac-hai
Indiv
0.2%
381.875
Hà Thị Thanh Vân
Indiv
0.2%
450.000
Michael Louis Rosen
Indiv
0.1%
120.250
Đoàn Thị Hồng Thúy
Indiv
0.1%
288.411
Nguyễn Duy Khánh
Indiv
0.1%
251.562
Lê Thị Lệ Hằng
Indiv
0.1%
140.000
Board & Management
Nguyễn Duy Hưng0.6%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Trà My0.5%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Hà Thị Thanh Vân0.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Duy Khánh0.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Vũ Thùy Hương
Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Đặng Kim Sơn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập/Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Phạm Viết Muôn
Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ /Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Anh Tuấn
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Người phụ trách quản trị công ty/Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán
Manabu Ueda
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Michael Sgn Beng Hock
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Văn Thị Ngọc Ánh
Kế toán trưởng
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →