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Consumer sector

SZE

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Môi trường Sonadezi
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanhCT
9.400
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
36.153
Current
9.400
Gap
+284.6%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.000
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.50%
Ke
11.50%
x
E/(D+E)
58.54%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.43%
x
D/(D+E)
41.46%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default5.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF60.39B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
60.39B
Growth Rate
5.00%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
36.153
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SZE

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

64
Fair
Accrual Quality
57
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
34
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.98
Low Risk
DSRI
0.530
GMI
1.456
AQI
1.265
SGI
1.069
DEPI
1.106
SGAI
1.088
TATA
-0.111
LVGI
0.849

The Beneish M-Score of -2.9773 indicates that SZE is not likely engaged in earnings manipulation, as it falls well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 64.3 suggests moderate concerns, particularly in revenue recognition and profit margins, which could be influenced by the company's ownership structure and market conditions.

Red Flags
  • The GMI of 1.4556 indicates a potential increase in gross margin pressure, which could signal future earnings challenges.
  • An earnings quality margin score of 33.6/100 raises concerns about the sustainability of profit margins, suggesting that the company may struggle to maintain profitability.
Positive Signals
  • The cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates excellent cash flow management, suggesting that the company effectively converts its earnings into cash.
  • The low DSRI of 0.5301 indicates that the company is managing its inventory well relative to sales, which is a positive sign for operational efficiency.
Ownership Risk

The dominant ownership by Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Phát triển Khu Công nghiệp at 64.0% raises concerns about potential conflicts of interest and lack of minority shareholder influence. This concentrated ownership structure may limit transparency and accountability.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor SZE's earnings quality metrics and consider the implications of its ownership structure on governance. A cautious approach is advised, focusing on cash flow performance while remaining alert to potential margin pressures.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.96
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.77
Negative
Composite
57
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-20.2%
Volatility
33.6%
Max Drawdown
-24.1%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
18.76P/E
P/B0.78
P/S0.64
ROE4.1%
ROA2.5%
EPS479.82
BVPS11577.14
Gross Margin10.9%
Net Margin3.4%
D/E0.54
Current Ratio1.18
Rev Growth6.9%
Profit Growth-52.9%
EV/EBITDA6.70
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
30.0M
Charter Capital
300.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh
Sub-industry
Chất thải & Môi trường
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SZE — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Phát triển Khu Công nghiệp
Inst
64.0%
19.2 trieu
nguyen-duy-hung
Indiv
7.0%
2.1 trieu
Trần Văn Đây
Indiv
0.3%
76.085
Bạch Văn Hiền
Indiv
0.2%
71.966
Board & Management
Ngô Thị Châu Loan
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Võ Thành Tâm
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
QUÁCH NGỌC BỬU
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Võ Hoài Hương
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Huyền
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Phí Thị Lệ Thủy
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Võ Huỳnh Trung Hưng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Nữ
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Bách Thảo
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Duy Hoàng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thanh Phúc
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Anh Dũng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Hoàng Dương
Kế toán trưởng
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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