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Real Estate sector

LDG

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư LDG
Bất động sảnCT
3.480
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
43.214
Current
3.480
Gap
+500.0%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
19.67%
+
Kd(1-t)
8.00%
x
D/(D+E)
80.33%
=
WACC
10.00%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
3.278
60%DCF Value
69.837
Blended Intrinsic
43.214
Value Decomposition
33%
67%
Explicit period (33%)Terminal value (67%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — LDG

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

40
Weak
Accrual Quality
28
Cash Conversion
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2022

-1.85
Moderate
DSRI
1.977
GMI
1.464
AQI
1.008
SGI
0.601
DEPI
1.004
SGAI
1.872
TATA
0.005
LVGI
1.117

The Beneish M-Score of -1.8526 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it exceeds the threshold of -1.78. Additionally, the earnings quality score of 24.5/100, particularly low cash conversion and revenue metrics, raises significant concerns about the company's financial integrity.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.8526 indicates potential earnings manipulation, exceeding the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 24.5/100, with cash conversion and revenue metrics at 0.0/100, suggests severe issues with earnings sustainability.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 1.9768 indicates a potential increase in inventory, which could signal growth if managed properly.
  • SGI of 0.6013 suggests that sales growth is lower than the industry average, which may indicate a conservative approach to revenue recognition.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is fragmented, with no single shareholder holding a significant stake, which may lead to governance issues and lack of accountability. The largest shareholder holds only 5.0%, indicating potential challenges in strategic alignment.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence on LDG, particularly focusing on cash flow and revenue recognition practices. Consider monitoring future earnings reports closely for signs of improvement in earnings quality metrics.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
-0.03
Distress Zone
Sharpe
1.27
Excellent
Composite
73
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+109.5%
Volatility
47.4%
Max Drawdown
-46.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
7.23P/E
P/B0.73
P/S2.45
ROE10.7%
ROA1.9%
EPS532.52
BVPS5245.46
Gross Margin57.0%
Net Margin34.0%
D/E5.00
Current Ratio1.01
Rev Growth125.6%
Profit Growth109.1%
EV/EBITDA1.01
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
257.0M
Charter Capital
2569.7B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for LDG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ Phần Sun Holdings
Inst
5.0%
9.4 trieu
Lê Thị Tư
Indiv
4.4%
7.0 trieu
Phạm Nguyễn Thuý An
Indiv
4.4%
7.0 trieu
nguyen-khanh-hung
Indiv
3.9%
10.1 trieu
La Mỹ Phượng
Indiv
3.8%
9.7 trieu
Lê Văn Thắng
Indiv
3.8%
6.0 trieu
La Mỹ Hoàng
Indiv
3.6%
9.3 trieu
Lê Thị Phương Uyên
Indiv
0.4%
950.300
Bùi Đắc Tuấn
Indiv
0.2%
149.598
Board & Management
Nguyễn Khánh Hưng3.9%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Lê Thị Phương Uyên0.4%
Kế toán trưởng
Đặng Quang Hải
Giám đốc Tài chính
Ngô Văn Minh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Quốc Vy Liêm
Phó Tổng Giám đốc Kinh doanh và Marketing
Nguyễn Thị Yến Chi
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lại Thị Bích Hằng
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Trịnh Quốc Nam
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Từ Minh Lý
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Ngô Ngọc Huyên
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Minh Khang
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Văn Vũ
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Nguyễn Văn Bang
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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