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Real Estate sector

DXG

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn Đất Xanh
Bất động sảnCT
14.600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
14.114
Current
14.600
Gap
-3.3%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
52.09%
+
Kd(1-t)
4.70%
x
D/(D+E)
47.91%
=
WACC
10.00%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend2.73%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
15.962
60%DCF Value
12.882
Blended Intrinsic
14.114
Value Decomposition
33%
67%
Explicit period (33%)Terminal value (67%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DXG

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

63
Fair
Accrual Quality
91
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.41
Moderate
DSRI
1.482
GMI
0.829
AQI
1.066
SGI
0.868
DEPI
0.902
SGAI
1.539
TATA
-0.022
LVGI
0.944

DXG presents a mixed financial profile with a Beneish M-Score of -2.4052, indicating no immediate signs of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant weaknesses, particularly in receivables and revenue recognition, which could pose risks in the Vietnamese market context.

Red Flags
  • The DSRI of 1.4819 suggests a potential issue with inventory management, indicating that sales may not be translating into cash effectively.
  • The eq_receivables score of 0.0/100 raises concerns about the company's ability to collect receivables, which could impact cash flow.
  • The SGAI of 1.5391 indicates that selling, general, and administrative expenses are growing faster than sales, which may signal inefficiencies.
Positive Signals
  • The earnings quality score of 62.8/100, particularly the eq_cash_conv of 100.0/100, suggests strong cash conversion from earnings, which is a positive indicator.
  • The GMI of 0.8287 indicates a lower likelihood of gross margin deterioration, which is a favorable sign for profitability.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders are predominantly individual investors, with Trần Công Thành holding 24.8% and Lương Trí Thìn at 15.5%. This concentrated ownership may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor DXG's receivables and inventory management while considering a cautious approach to investment due to elevated risks. Engaging with management on operational efficiencies could provide insights into mitigating these risks.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.47
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.42
Positive
Composite
63
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+27.4%
Volatility
47.3%
Max Drawdown
-40.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
76.72P/E
P/B1.23
P/S4.21
ROE1.9%
ROA0.7%
EPS205.29
BVPS12769.62
Gross Margin58.0%
Net Margin5.5%
D/E0.83
Current Ratio2.35
Rev Growth-6.9%
Profit Growth-10.6%
EV/EBITDA20.47
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
1114.1M
Charter Capital
11141.3B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DXG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Trần Công Thành
Indiv
24.8%
3.0 trieu
Lương Trí Thìn
Indiv
15.5%
173.0 trieu
Victory Holding Investment Limited
Inst
5.9%
65.4 trieu
Công ty CP Đầu Tư Bbc
Inst
4.9%
12.4 trieu
Prusix Asian Smaller Companies Fund Public Limited Company
Inst
4.8%
5.6 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Đầu Tư Nav
Inst
4.5%
23.4 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Đầu Tư Thương Mại Quốc Tế Hà Thành
Inst
4.3%
5.0 trieu
Công ty cổ phần Ngọn Hải Đăng
Inst
4.3%
5.0 trieu
KIM Vietnam Growth Equity Fund
Inst
4.0%
20.5 trieu
Lê Thị Tư
Indiv
3.2%
3.7 trieu
Hanoi Investments Holdings Limited
Inst
2.2%
24.0 trieu
Vietnam Holding Ltd
Inst
2.1%
10.7 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Tập Đoàn Đầu Tư Việt Phương
Inst
2.0%
2.3 trieu
CTBC Vietnam Equity Fund
Inst
1.8%
11.0 trieu
amersham industries limited
Inst
1.6%
17.6 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Asia Invest
Inst
1.5%
1.7 trieu
Norges Bank
Inst
1.0%
11.3 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Quản lý quỹ đầu tư FPT
Inst
0.9%
1.1 trieu
Wareham Group Limited
Inst
0.8%
8.9 trieu
KITMC Worldwide Vietnam RSP Balanced Fund
Inst
0.8%
3.9 trieu
Vietnam Enterprise Investments Limited
Inst
0.6%
6.4 trieu
Quỹ Đầu tư Tăng trưởng TVAM
Inst
0.5%
2.5 trieu
Quỹ Đầu tư Tăng trưởng Thiên Việt 2
Inst
0.5%
2.4 trieu
aquila spc ltd
Inst
0.5%
2.4 trieu
DC Developing Markets Strategies Public Limited Company
Inst
0.4%
4.6 trieu
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Bảo hiểm Hùng Vương
Inst
0.3%
370.000
Nguyễn Quang Vinh
Indiv
0.3%
350.000
Vietnam Co-investment Fund
Inst
0.2%
1.3 trieu
Saigon Investments Limited
Inst
0.2%
2.5 trieu
KB Vietnam Focus Balanced Fund
Inst
0.2%
1.2 trieu
Lương Trí Tú
Indiv
0.2%
1.3 trieu
Kitmc Worldwide China Vietnam Fund
Inst
0.2%
830.550
nguyen-khanh-hung
Indiv
0.2%
855.849
Trần Khánh Quang
Indiv
0.1%
156.000
Quena Ltd
Inst
0.1%
535.000
Board & Management
Lương Trí Thìn15.5%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Ngọc Đức
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Hào
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Dương Văn Bắc
Giám đốc Tài chính
Đỗ Thị Thái
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Hà Đức Hiếu
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Trường Sơn
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Việt Anh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Thanh Thảo
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Phạm Quang Huy
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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