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Construction sector

MCG

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Năng lượng và Bất động sản MCG
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
2.300
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
746
Current
2.300
Gap
-67.6%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Enterprise Value
BVPS
1.491
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
1.491

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — MCG

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

50
Fair
Accrual Quality
96
Cash Conversion
26
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.96
Low Risk
DSRI
0.853
GMI
0.849
AQI
1.070
SGI
1.018
DEPI
1.059
SGAI
2.573
TATA
-0.010
LVGI
1.011

MCG exhibits several concerning financial metrics that suggest potential manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -2.9642, indicating a significant risk of earnings manipulation. The earnings quality score of 50.4/100, coupled with low cash conversion metrics, raises additional concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.9642, significantly below the manipulation threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 50.4/100, with eq_cash_conv at only 25.7/100, indicating poor cash conversion relative to earnings.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 0.8530 suggests that inventory is being managed well relative to sales, which is a positive indicator.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated among a few individuals, with the top five shareholders holding over 50% of shares. This concentration may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence before considering an investment in MCG, particularly focusing on cash flow sustainability and governance practices.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
-0.52
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.24
Positive
Composite
42
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+20.0%
Volatility
56.8%
Max Drawdown
-43.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
-18.31P/E
P/B1.62
P/S3.02
ROE-8.4%
ROA-0.6%
EPS-131.53
BVPS1491.02
Gross Margin24.1%
Net Margin-16.5%
D/E5.04
Current Ratio0.24
Rev Growth1.8%
Profit Growth-101.8%
EV/EBITDA38.63
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
57.5M
Charter Capital
575.1B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for MCG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Nguyễn Ngọc Bình
Indiv
15.7%
9.0 trieu
Nguyễn Anh Đào
Indiv
11.1%
5.8 trieu
La Mỹ Phượng
Indiv
6.9%
3.6 trieu
Trần Như Hoa
Indiv
5.0%
2.6 trieu
Bùi Văn Mạnh
Indiv
5.0%
2.6 trieu
Đỗ Quang Vinh
Indiv
5.0%
2.6 trieu
Phan Hải Hà
Indiv
5.0%
2.9 trieu
Đào Thùy Linh
Indiv
4.6%
2.7 trieu
Nguyễn Văn Dũng
Indiv
4.3%
2.5 trieu
Cheancharadpong Smit
Indiv
3.8%
2.0 trieu
Ngân hàng Thương mại Cổ phần Đại chúng Việt Nam
Inst
1.0%
581.800
tct cơ điện xây dựng nông nghiệp và thủy lợi
Inst
0.6%
337.800
Nguyễn Xuân Phương
Indiv
0.5%
308.170
Trần Thị Xinh
Indiv
0.1%
60.000
Board & Management
Nguyễn Ngọc Bình15.7%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Ngọc Hưng
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Hải Anh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Thị Kim Anh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đinh Thị Vân
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Phương Ngọc
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Huyên
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Ngô Tuấn Anh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Thị Chinh Lương
Kế toán trưởng
Hoàng Mạnh Tuấn
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Trần Ngọc Chiến
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đỗ Quang Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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