VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Consumer sector

HTG

Consumer
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Dệt may Hòa Thọ
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Hàng cá nhânCT
42.100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
20.565
Current
42.100
Gap
-51.1%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
31.62%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.43%
x
D/(D+E)
68.38%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.78%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF115.68B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
115.68B
Growth Rate
3.78%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
20.565
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HTG

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

75
Good
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
80
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
63
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.49
Elevated
DSRI
1.156
GMI
0.996
AQI
3.009
SGI
1.061
DEPI
0.846
SGAI
0.929
TATA
-0.000
LVGI
1.027

HTG exhibits a moderate risk profile with a Beneish M-Score of -1.4875, indicating no immediate signs of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal concerns, particularly in revenue recognition, which may warrant further scrutiny.

Red Flags
  • The revenue quality score is 0.0/100, indicating potential issues in revenue recognition practices.
  • The SGI of 1.0606 suggests a higher growth rate than sales, which could imply aggressive revenue reporting.
Positive Signals
  • The earnings quality score of 74.5/100 reflects generally strong accruals and cash conversion metrics, indicating solid operational performance.
  • The DSRI of 1.1563 is below the manipulation threshold, suggesting that inventory management is relatively stable.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership by Tập đoàn Dệt May Việt Nam at 61.9% poses potential governance risks, as decision-making may heavily favor the interests of this entity over minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider conducting a deeper analysis of operational cash flows. Given the ownership structure, engaging with management on governance practices may also be prudent.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.44
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.55
Negative
Composite
44
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-7.0%
Volatility
14.5%
Max Drawdown
-30.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
4.93P/E
P/B1.46
P/S0.29
ROE32.5%
ROA9.5%
EPS8799.11
BVPS29671.65
Gross Margin11.7%
Net Margin5.9%
D/E2.36
Current Ratio1.18
Rev Growth5.9%
Profit Growth12.8%
EV/EBITDA5.87
Div Yield5.8%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
36.0M
Charter Capital
360.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng cá nhân
Sub-industry
Hàng May mặc
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for HTG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập đoàn Dệt May Việt Nam
Inst
61.9%
22.3 trieu
Nguyễn Đức Trị
Indiv
3.1%
1.1 trieu
Trần Văn Phổ
Indiv
1.5%
347.415
Công Đoàn Tổng Công ty Cổ Phần Dệt May Hòa Thọ
State
1.1%
413.227
Đào Ngọc Phương
Indiv
0.9%
206.840
Phạm Thị Mỹ
Indiv
0.8%
278.190
Nguyễn Ngọc Bình
Indiv
0.8%
273.171
Trần Tường Anh
Indiv
0.7%
236.019
Hoàng Thuỳ Oanh
Indiv
0.5%
187.968
Phạm Văn Tân
Indiv
0.5%
145.961
Nguyễn Thị Huệ
Indiv
0.4%
97.542
Nguyễn Văn Hải
Indiv
0.4%
142.056
Phan Quang Long
Indiv
0.4%
140.199
Phạm Ngọc Trung
Indiv
0.4%
138.630
Trần Thị Hòa Châu
Indiv
0.3%
119.206
nguyen-thanh-son
Indiv
0.3%
120.380
Phan Hữu Phu
Indiv
0.3%
60.161
Nguyễn Văn Cường
Indiv
0.3%
95.594
Nguyễn Thị Kim Khánh
Indiv
0.2%
80.520
Nguyễn Thị Tường Long
Indiv
0.2%
54.330
Nguyễn Phước Hoàng
Indiv
0.1%
53.541
Phan Văn Phước
Indiv
0.1%
42.224
Nguyễn Phạm Mỹ Duyên
Indiv
0.1%
50.000
Nguyễn Đức Thịnh
Indiv
0.1%
50.000
nguyen-thi-minh-hang
Indiv
0.1%
43.453
Bùi Đình Thành
Indiv
0.1%
26.099
Phan Thị Tuyết Việt
Indiv
0.1%
23.763
Board & Management
Nguyễn Đức Trị3.1%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Ngọc Bình0.8%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Tường Anh0.7%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Hoàng Thuỳ Oanh0.5%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Văn Tân0.5%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Huệ0.4%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Văn Hải0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Phan Quang Long0.4%
Giám đốc điều hành
Phạm Ngọc Trung0.4%
Giám đốc điều hành
Trần Thị Hòa Châu0.3%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thanh Sơn0.3%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Văn Cường0.3%
Giám đốc điều hành
Nguyễn Thị Kim Khanh0.2%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Tường Long0.2%
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Phước Hoàng0.1%
Giám đốc điều hành
Phan Văn Phước0.1%
Giám đốc điều hành
Lê Quốc Ân
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Ngọc Cách
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →