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Consumer sector

MQB

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Môi trường và Phát triển đô thị Quảng Bình
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanhCT
5.600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
22.603
Current
5.600
Gap
+303.6%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.000
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.50%
Ke
11.50%
x
E/(D+E)
73.86%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.35%
x
D/(D+E)
26.14%
=
WACC
10.15%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend2.98%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF4.87B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
4.87B
Growth Rate
2.98%
WACC
10.15%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
22.603
Value Decomposition
44%
56%
Explicit period (44%)Terminal value (56%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — MQB

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

85
Good
Accrual Quality
83
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
25

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.08
Moderate
DSRI
1.048
GMI
0.903
AQI
2.479
SGI
1.099
DEPI
0.929
SGAI
1.020
TATA
-0.043
LVGI
1.220

The Beneish M-Score of -2.085 indicates a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant concerns, particularly with revenue recognition, which could suggest potential risks in financial reporting.

Red Flags
  • Earnings quality score of 25.4/100 for eq_revenue indicates poor revenue recognition practices.
  • The DSRI of 1.0478 suggests a slight increase in receivables relative to sales, which could indicate potential revenue manipulation.
Positive Signals
  • High earnings quality score of 84.6/100, particularly strong cash conversion (100.0/100) and receivables management (100.0/100), indicating solid operational efficiency.
Ownership Risk

The dominant ownership by the state (81.5%) may lead to potential conflicts of interest and reduced accountability, which can pose risks to minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider the implications of state ownership on governance. A thorough review of financial statements is recommended before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
2.19
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.73
Negative
Composite
72
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
-9.2%
Volatility
100.5%
Max Drawdown
-41.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
10.51P/E
P/B0.47
P/S0.30
ROE5.5%
ROA4.0%
EPS901.53
BVPS12034.21
Gross Margin20.8%
Net Margin4.9%
D/E0.46
Current Ratio2.43
Rev Growth9.9%
Profit Growth8.4%
EV/EBITDA3.95
Div Yield6.8%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
3.7M
Charter Capital
36.8B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh
Sub-industry
Chất thải & Môi trường
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for MQB — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Quảng Bình
State
81.5%
3.0 trieu
Phạm Đức Thái
Indiv
0.5%
20.000
trương công định
Indiv
0.4%
13.800
Phạm Thị Mỹ Thủy
Indiv
0.4%
12.700
Nguyễn Đức Dũng
Indiv
0.3%
10.300
Lê Viết Hợp
Indiv
0.2%
8.900
Đinh Xuân Trường
Indiv
0.2%
7.000
Đào Văn Phổ
Indiv
0.2%
6.900
Tiêu Thị Bồng
Indiv
0.2%
6.600
Võ Thị Xuân
Indiv
0.2%
6.500
nguyen-thi-hong-yen
Indiv
0.1%
5.400
Trần Thanh Chương
Indiv
0.1%
5.000
Hoàng Văn Dương
Indiv
0.1%
5.300
Board & Management
Phạm Đức Thái0.5%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trương Công Định0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Phạm Thị Mỹ Thủy0.4%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Đức Dũng0.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Viết Hợp0.2%
Phó Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đinh Xuân Trường0.2%
Kế toán trưởng/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Võ Thị Xuân0.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Hồng Yến0.1%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Hoàng Văn Dương0.1%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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