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Consumer sector

NSS

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Nông súc sản Đồng Nai
Thực phẩm và đồ uống/Sản xuất thực phẩmCT
3.700
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
49.419
Current
3.700
Gap
+500.0%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTThực phẩm và đồ uốngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Thực phẩm và đồ uống" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
84.88%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.58%
x
D/(D+E)
15.12%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF29.15B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
29.15B
Growth Rate
4.00%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
49.419
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — NSS

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

36
Weak
Accrual Quality
45
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2023

-2.67
Low Risk
DSRI
0.983
GMI
2.095
AQI
0.560
SGI
0.918
DEPI
0.977
SGAI
0.967
TATA
-0.120
LVGI
0.822

NSS exhibits several concerning financial metrics that suggest potential earnings manipulation, particularly indicated by its Beneish M-Score of -2.667, which is below the manipulation threshold. While the company maintains a strong cash conversion rate, its low earnings quality score and poor receivables and revenue metrics raise significant red flags.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.667 indicates potential earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 43.8/100 suggests overall weak earnings quality, particularly with receivables at 25.8/100 and revenue at 0.0/100.
Positive Signals
  • Strong cash conversion rate of 100.0/100 indicates effective cash management despite low revenue quality.
Ownership Risk

The majority ownership by Tổng Công ty Công Nghiệp Thực Phẩm Đồng Nai at 84.3% suggests a lack of independent oversight, which could increase risks of management entrenchment and reduce accountability.

Recommendation

Investors should approach NSS with caution, considering a deeper analysis of cash flows and management practices before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.69
Grey Zone
Sharpe
1.13
Excellent
Composite
55
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-0.9%
Volatility
56.1%
Max Drawdown
-0.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
65.75P/E
P/B0.23
P/S0.37
ROE0.6%
ROA0.5%
EPS94.02
BVPS16091.99
Gross Margin-1.2%
Net Margin0.9%
D/E0.11
Current Ratio8.35
Rev Growth-63.6%
Profit Growth-90.0%
EV/EBITDA19.59
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
10.3M
Charter Capital
102.6B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất thực phẩm
Sub-industry
Nuôi trồng nông & hải sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for NSS — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Công Nghiệp Thực Phẩm Đồng Nai
Inst
84.3%
8.7 trieu
Lê Thị Khánh Xương
Indiv
7.9%
810.000
Trần Minh Phương
Indiv
0.7%
67.800
Ngô Thị Kim Hưng
Indiv
0.4%
36.800
Lâm Hùng Phương
Indiv
0.4%
35.600
Trương Tấn Cường
Indiv
0.1%
13.300
Nguyễn Diên Tường
Indiv
0.1%
13.400
Board & Management
Trần Minh Phương0.7%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc
Lâm Hùng Phương0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Diên Tường0.1%
Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Ngọc Long
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Minh Tiến
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đinh Ngọc Mến
Kế toán trưởng/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đinh Văn Hồng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Ngô Thị Cẩm Hà
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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