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Cyclicals sector

DNT

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Du lịch Đồng Nai
Du lịch và Giải trí/Du lịch & Giải tríCT
61.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
23.462
Current
61.000
Gap
-61.5%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTDu lịch và Giải tríCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Du lịch và Giải trí" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA9.57B
Fair EV/EBITDA17.2x
Years of data7
2
Valuation
Mid-Cycle EBITDA
9.57B
x
Fair EV/EBITDA
17.2x
-
Net Debt
-10.42B
=
Equity Value
23.462
Years of data7

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DNT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

41
Weak
Accrual Quality
76
Cash Conversion
16
Receivables
16
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.25
Moderate
DSRI
0.985
GMI
1.035
AQI
1.016
SGI
0.965
DEPI
0.909
SGAI
0.960
TATA
0.060
LVGI
1.075

DNT exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -2.2454, which is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. Additionally, the earnings quality score of 40.9/100 indicates significant weaknesses in cash conversion and receivables management, raising further concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.2454 indicates potential earnings manipulation, significantly below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings quality score of 40.9/100, particularly low cash conversion score of 16.2/100 and receivables score of 16.4/100, suggests poor earnings quality.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 0.9851 indicates that the company's inventory growth is in line with revenue, which is a positive sign.
  • Strong margin score of 100.0/100 suggests that when revenue is recognized, it is done so with high profitability.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with the top two institutional shareholders holding a combined 132.8% stake, indicating potential governance risks and lack of minority shareholder influence.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence on DNT's financial practices, particularly focusing on cash flow management and the implications of its concentrated ownership structure before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
8.48
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.81
Positive
Composite
42
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+39.2%
Volatility
76.4%
Max Drawdown
-40.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
43.51P/E
P/B4.42
P/S1.56
ROE9.9%
ROA7.5%
EPS1015.79
BVPS10008.07
Gross Margin25.6%
Net Margin3.6%
D/E0.34
Current Ratio2.64
Rev Growth-3.5%
Profit Growth-17.7%
EV/EBITDA33.96
Div Yield1.4%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
7.5M
Charter Capital
74.6B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Du lịch và Giải trí
Industry (ICB L3)
Du lịch & Giải trí
Sub-industry
Dịch vụ giải trí
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DNT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công Ty TNHH Một Thành Viên Đầu Tư Phát Triển Bửu Long
Inst
67.6%
4.9 trieu
Tổng Công ty Công Nghiệp Thực Phẩm Đồng Nai
Inst
65.2%
3.3 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Thanh Bình
Inst
16.9%
1.2 trieu
Công ty TNHH Thanh Bình
Inst
16.7%
1.2 trieu
Nguyễn Tuấn Mùi
Indiv
8.9%
430.000
Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn Mai Linh
Inst
8.5%
430.000
Công ty Cổ phần Tổng Công ty Tín Nghĩa
Inst
3.6%
178.750
Huỳnh Thị Bích Phượng
Indiv
2.1%
99.500
Nguyễn Thị Huỳnh Hoa
Indiv
0.7%
34.700
Huỳnh Văn Minh
Indiv
0.2%
14.100
Nguyễn Minh Thức
Indiv
0.1%
10.150
nguyen-van-an
Indiv
0.1%
9.000
Ngô Văn Chương
Indiv
0.1%
5.100
Board & Management
Nguyễn Minh Thức0.1%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Ôn Văn Phước
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Hồng Quân
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Huỳnh Quốc Bảo
Phó Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Hoàng Anh
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Đức Bình
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đặng Thị Tố Ngân
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Võ Trường Sơn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Tống Duy Khương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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