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Real Estate sector

ITC

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư - Kinh doanh nhà
Bất động sảnCT
11.900
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
High
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
32.141
Current
11.900
Gap
+170.1%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
58.24%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.00%
x
D/(D+E)
41.76%
=
WACC
10.01%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend2.11%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
25.626
60%DCF Value
36.484
Blended Intrinsic
32.141
Value Decomposition
33%
67%
Explicit period (33%)Terminal value (67%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — ITC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

63
Fair
Accrual Quality
65
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
12
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.81
Low Risk
DSRI
0.792
GMI
0.989
AQI
0.925
SGI
1.288
DEPI
1.304
SGAI
1.245
TATA
-0.087
LVGI
0.838

The Beneish M-Score of -2.8132 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the Earnings Quality Score of 63.0/100, particularly low revenue quality (0.0/100), raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • SGI of 1.2878 suggests aggressive growth strategies that may not be supported by underlying fundamentals.
  • EQ margin score of 11.7/100 indicates significant issues with profitability relative to revenue.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 0.7918 indicates that inventory levels are well-managed relative to sales, suggesting operational efficiency.
  • High cash conversion (100.0/100) and receivables quality (100.0/100) imply strong cash flow management.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders include significant institutional and state ownership, which may provide stability but also raises concerns about potential influence on governance and transparency.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue generation and profitability metrics, given the low revenue quality score, and consider a cautious approach until clearer operational performance emerges.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
1.24
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.24
Positive
Composite
76
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+35.0%
Volatility
29.2%
Max Drawdown
-36.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
20.94P/E
P/B0.51
P/S1.52
ROE2.4%
ROA1.3%
EPS553.90
BVPS22879.08
Gross Margin33.9%
Net Margin7.2%
D/E0.54
Current Ratio1.99
Rev Growth28.8%
Profit Growth62.2%
EV/EBITDA8.44
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
96.4M
Charter Capital
963.8B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for ITC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ Phần Thiết Kế Kiến Trúc Tương Lai
Inst
24.7%
23.8 trieu
Tổng Công ty Địa ốc Sài Gòn
Inst
16.2%
15.6 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Địa ốc Sài Gòn
State
16.2%
11.2 trieu
Công ty CP Truyền Thông Giải Trí Terra
Inst
5.1%
4.9 trieu
Lê Thị Dịu Minh
Indiv
4.8%
4.6 trieu
Công ty CP Đầu Tư Toàn Việt
Inst
4.8%
3.8 trieu
Nguyễn Minh Trí
Indiv
4.7%
3.3 trieu
KITMC Worldwide Vietnam RSP Balanced Fund
Inst
3.4%
2.4 trieu
Quỹ Đầu tư Cổ phiếu Tiếp Cận Thị Trường VinaCapital
Inst
3.2%
3.0 trieu
Luminous Vietnam and Indochina Growth Fund
Inst
2.9%
2.0 trieu
Công ty TNHH Đầu Tư Và Thương Mại Thiên Hải
Inst
1.8%
1.4 trieu
Nguyễn Văn Khởi
Indiv
1.6%
1.1 trieu
VOF Investment Limited
Inst
1.5%
1.1 trieu
Dương Thanh Thủy
Indiv
1.0%
711.462
Trương Minh Thuận
Indiv
1.0%
897.433
KITMC Worldwide Vietnam Fund II
Inst
1.0%
685.000
Lê Thị Trâm Anh
Indiv
0.9%
786.508
Nguyễn Thúc Quang
Indiv
0.7%
476.523
Lê Thị Khánh Xương
Indiv
0.6%
442.236
Công ty TNHH Bảo hiểm nhân thọ Generali Việt Nam
Inst
0.6%
595.900
Nguyễn Thị Xuân Trang
Indiv
0.4%
419.186
Quỹ Đầu tư Năng động Eastspring Investments Việt Nam
Inst
0.4%
261.922
Quỹ Đầu tư Tăng trưởng Việt Nam (VF2)
Inst
0.3%
240.770
Trương Minh Đạt
Indiv
0.3%
272.940
KITMC Worldwide Vietnam Fund I
Inst
0.3%
200.000
Công ty TNHH Bảo Hiểm Chubb Việt Nam
Inst
0.2%
223.100
Công ty TNHH bảo hiểm Hanwha Life Việt Nam
Inst
0.2%
175.100
Ngô Tùng Chinh
Indiv
0.1%
75.924
Board & Management
Trương Minh Thuận1.0%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Phan Thị Hồng Liên
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Lê Quang Sơn
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đoàn Hữu Chí
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Thị Nguyên
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Trần Hữu Khánh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Mãnh
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Hồ Thị Lưu
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Kim Hậu
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Võ Hữu Hải
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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