VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Cyclicals sector

PEQ

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Thiết bị xăng dầu Petrolimex
Dầu khí/Thiết bị, Dịch vụ và Phân phối Dầu khíCT
42.400
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
40.300
Current
42.400
Gap
-5.0%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTDầu khíCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Dầu khí" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA28.76B
Fair EV/EBITDA6.9x
Years of data7
2
Valuation
Mid-Cycle EBITDA
28.76B
x
Fair EV/EBITDA
6.9x
-
Net Debt
-828.84M
=
Equity Value
40.300
Years of data7

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PEQ

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

63
Fair
Accrual Quality
98
Cash Conversion
74
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
10

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.06
Moderate
DSRI
1.575
GMI
0.935
AQI
0.395
SGI
1.207
DEPI
1.139
SGAI
1.155
TATA
0.006
LVGI
1.088

The Beneish M-Score of -2.058 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the high DSRI of 1.5754 and low receivables quality score of 0.0/100 raise concerns about revenue recognition practices and potential overstatement of sales.

Red Flags
  • DSRI of 1.5754 suggests significant increases in receivables relative to revenue, indicating potential revenue recognition issues.
  • The receivables quality score of 0.0/100 raises concerns about the collectability of reported revenues.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 62.5/100 indicates a reasonable level of earnings quality, with strong accruals at 97.8/100 and margin quality at 100.0/100.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, a state-owned enterprise (SOE), holds 50.5% of the shares, which may lead to potential conflicts of interest and influence over financial reporting practices.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider conducting further due diligence on the company's receivables management before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
6.23
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.13
Positive
Composite
56
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+12.6%
Volatility
107.8%
Max Drawdown
-42.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
12.14P/E
P/B1.98
P/S0.15
ROE20.4%
ROA8.3%
EPS4006.16
BVPS20400.09
Gross Margin12.3%
Net Margin1.5%
D/E1.60
Current Ratio1.18
Rev Growth20.7%
Profit Growth31.4%
EV/EBITDA6.93
Div Yield6.2%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
5.0M
Charter Capital
49.7B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Dầu khí
Industry (ICB L3)
Thiết bị, Dịch vụ và Phân phối Dầu khí
Sub-industry
Thiết bị và Dịch vụ Dầu khí
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PEQ — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty TNHH MTV - Tổng Công ty Xây Lắp Và Thương Mại Petrolimex
Inst
50.5%
2.5 trieu
Hoàng Văn Cảnh
Indiv
10.4%
516.634
Ngô Sỹ Tuấn Anh
Indiv
1.9%
93.226
Đỗ Đức Hợp
Indiv
0.6%
28.262
Phan Thị Hoa
Indiv
0.5%
26.460
Trần Thị Nam Hương
Indiv
0.5%
23.060
Quách Ngọc Đông
Indiv
0.2%
10.467
Nguyễn Ngọc Sơn
Indiv
0.2%
8.847
Trương Thị Lan Phương
Indiv
0.1%
5.734
Board & Management
Hoàng Văn Cảnh10.4%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Ngô Sỹ Tuấn Anh1.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Đỗ Đức Hợp0.6%
Phó Giám đốc
Phan Thị Hoa0.5%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Kế toán trưởng
Trần Thị Nam Hương0.5%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Ngọc Sơn0.2%
Phó Giám đốc
Trương Thị Lan Phương0.1%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Giang
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Võ Quốc Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Cường
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →