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Consumer sector

PIT

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Xuất nhập khẩu Petrolimex
Bán lẻCT
7.950
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
3.621
Current
7.950
Gap
-54.5%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTBán lẻConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Bán lẻ" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
7.243
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
7.243

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PIT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

31
Weak
Accrual Quality
81
Cash Conversion
40
Receivables
4
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.42
Moderate
DSRI
1.128
GMI
1.304
AQI
1.035
SGI
0.941
DEPI
0.947
SGAI
0.756
TATA
-0.048
LVGI
0.969

PIT exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, as indicated by a Beneish M-Score of -2.4181, which is significantly below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. Additionally, the company shows poor earnings quality metrics, particularly in revenue and margin recognition, suggesting potential financial reporting issues.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.4181 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 31.0/100, with revenue and margin metrics at 0.0/100, raises concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.
  • Receivables quality at 3.9/100 suggests significant issues in revenue collection, which may indicate aggressive revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 1.1284 indicates that inventory levels are in line with revenue growth, which is a positive signal.
  • SGI of 0.9406 suggests that sales growth is stable, which may indicate a solid underlying demand for PIT's products.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with the largest shareholder holding 52.7%. This concentration may pose risks related to governance and potential conflicts of interest, particularly in decision-making processes.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence on PIT, particularly focusing on cash flow and revenue recognition practices. Consider monitoring for any changes in management or ownership that may improve governance and transparency.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.56
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.62
Positive
Composite
38
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+33.5%
Volatility
42.7%
Max Drawdown
-26.1%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
-50.94P/E
P/B0.99
P/S0.16
ROE-1.9%
ROA-0.6%
EPS-141.34
BVPS7242.65
Gross Margin7.5%
Net Margin-0.3%
D/E1.88
Current Ratio1.29
Rev Growth-5.9%
Profit Growth-175.3%
EV/EBITDA16.35
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
15.2M
Charter Capital
152.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bán lẻ
Industry (ICB L3)
Bán lẻ
Sub-industry
Bán lẻ phức hợp
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PIT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty TNHH MTV - Tổng Công ty Xây Lắp Và Thương Mại Petrolimex
Inst
52.7%
8.0 trieu
Công ty TNHH Giải Pháp Công Nghệ Logigo
Inst
10.6%
1.5 trieu
Quỹ Đầu Tư Chứng Khoán Bảo Việt
Inst
3.4%
518.000
Lê Thúy Đào
Indiv
2.5%
381.500
Hà Huy Thắng
Indiv
2.1%
327.455
Công ty TNHH Quản lý Quỹ Bảo Việt
Inst
1.6%
240.137
Vũ Thị Phương Thảo
Indiv
1.3%
201.000
Mai Văn Bình
Indiv
0.9%
134.724
Trần Xuân Sơn
Indiv
0.6%
96.010
Trần Ngọc Châu
Indiv
0.4%
68.006
Phạm Văn Nam
Indiv
0.3%
39.639
Công ty Cổ phần Thuận Phú
Inst
0.2%
33.000
Board & Management
Lê Thúy Đào2.5%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Văn Tuấn Anh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Thị Lan
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Trung Kiên
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Ngô Bích Hạnh
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Vũ Văn Cung
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
HUỲNH ĐỨC THÔNG
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Minh Huỳnh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Văn Hải
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Minh Quang
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Đình Thanh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Hường
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Đình Tuyết
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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