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Technology sector

VTC

Technology
Công ty Cổ phần Viễn Thông VTC
Công nghệ Thông tin/Thiết bị và Phần cứngCT
12.600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
7.566
Current
12.600
Gap
-40.0%
ModelDCF PE BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTCông nghệ Thông tinTechnology
Classified as technology because ICB sector "Công nghệ Thông tin" maps to the technology group
ModelDCF + P/E Blend
Intrinsic = 60% x DCF Value + 40% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF uses the slowest growth decay (0.05) recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
15.132
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
15.132

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VTC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

27
Poor
Accrual Quality
24
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
6
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

0.41
High Risk
DSRI
1.344
GMI
2.033
AQI
0.524
SGI
2.210
DEPI
1.412
SGAI
0.582
TATA
0.236
LVGI
1.260

VTC exhibits significant red flags indicating potential earnings manipulation, with a Beneish M-Score of 0.4067, well above the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 26.9/100 further highlights concerns regarding revenue recognition and cash conversion.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 0.4067 indicates potential earnings manipulation, significantly above the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 26.9/100, with eq_cash_conv at 0.0/100, suggests severe issues in cash flow relative to reported earnings.
  • SGI of 2.2101 indicates aggressive growth that may not be sustainable, raising concerns about revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • Receivables quality score at 100.0/100 suggests strong management of accounts receivable, indicating potential reliability in cash flow from collections.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with Tập Đoàn Bưu Chính Viễn Thông Việt Nam holding 46.7%, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and consider conducting further due diligence on VTC's financial practices and governance before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
1/9
Weak
Z-Score
1.11
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.50
Positive
Composite
41
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+61.1%
Volatility
103.3%
Max Drawdown
-61.1%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
13.90P/E
P/B0.79
P/S0.10
ROE5.7%
ROA0.9%
EPS863.21
BVPS15132.18
Gross Margin10.1%
Net Margin0.7%
D/E6.51
Current Ratio1.12
Rev Growth121.0%
Profit Growth11.0%
EV/EBITDA14.19
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
4.5M
Charter Capital
45.3B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Công nghệ Thông tin
Industry (ICB L3)
Thiết bị và Phần cứng
Sub-industry
Thiết bị viễn thông
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VTC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập Đoàn Bưu Chính Viễn Thông Việt Nam
Inst
46.7%
2.1 trieu
Lê Xuân Tiến
Indiv
20.4%
924.862
Nguyễn Ngọc Sơn
Indiv
2.8%
128.236
Ngân hàng Thương mại Cổ phần Quốc tế Việt Nam
Inst
2.6%
120.000
Lê Văn Giảng
Indiv
0.8%
38.232
Võ Hùng Tiến
Indiv
0.4%
20.519
Trần Viết Tống
Indiv
0.4%
20.300
Phạm Cử
Indiv
0.1%
6.006
Board & Management
Lê Xuân Tiến20.4%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Võ Hùng Tiến0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Minh Vũ
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Bùi Văn Bằng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Văn Mua
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Phương Hiền
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thị Thanh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Thanh Tú
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thiện Lợi
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thụy Kiều Giang
Kế toán trưởng
Dương Thị Hoàng Cát
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Đức Long
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Xuân
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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