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Utilities sector

PPT

Utilities
Công ty cổ phần Petro Times
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
15.400
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
4.865
Current
15.400
Gap
-68.4%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend3.61%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:EPS default
DPS243
Payout ratio50.0%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
243
Base Growth
3.61%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
4.865
Value Decomposition
25%
75%
Explicit period (25%)Terminal value (75%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PPT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

70
Fair
Accrual Quality
94
Cash Conversion
20
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
35

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.44
Moderate
DSRI
0.602
GMI
1.269
AQI
0.793
SGI
1.222
DEPI
0.959
SGAI
0.826
TATA
0.024
LVGI
0.956

PPT exhibits several concerning financial metrics that suggest potential earnings manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -2.4383, indicating a lower risk of manipulation. However, the earnings quality score of 58.7/100, coupled with a cash conversion score of 0.0/100, raises significant concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.4383, below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, suggests potential earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings quality cash conversion score of 0.0/100 indicates severe issues in converting earnings into cash, raising concerns about liquidity and operational efficiency.
Positive Signals
  • Strong receivables quality score of 100.0/100 indicates effective management of accounts receivable, which is a positive sign for revenue collection.
  • DSRI of 0.6017 suggests that the company's inventory is well-managed relative to sales, indicating operational efficiency.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders are individuals with significant stakes, with the largest holding at 18.1%. This concentrated ownership could lead to governance risks, particularly if decisions are made that favor personal interests over minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow performance and consider the implications of the low cash conversion score before making investment decisions. A thorough review of operational practices and governance structures is advisable to mitigate potential risks.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
9.72
Safe Zone
Sharpe
1.42
Excellent
Composite
55
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+28.4%
Volatility
9.8%
Max Drawdown
-6.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
31.63P/E
P/B1.46
P/S0.07
ROE4.7%
ROA1.9%
EPS486.88
BVPS10527.86
Gross Margin1.1%
Net Margin0.2%
D/E1.47
Current Ratio1.16
Rev Growth12.4%
Profit Growth5.6%
EV/EBITDA19.33
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
19.6M
Charter Capital
196.4B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Phân phối xăng dầu & khí đốt
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PPT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Phạm Văn Kỳ
Indiv
18.1%
3.5 trieu
Phạm Thị Ly
Indiv
7.0%
1.4 trieu
Nguyễn Văn Trìu
Indiv
3.2%
480.000
Nguyễn Thị Thà
Indiv
1.1%
209.520
Phạm Văn Trương
Indiv
0.8%
161.838
Cao Thị Phương
Indiv
0.4%
88.074
Nguyễn Văn Song
Indiv
0.4%
70.092
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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