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Construction sector

LIG

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Licogi 13
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
3.700
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
5.199
Current
3.700
Gap
+40.5%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Enterprise Value
BVPS
10.397
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
10.397

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — LIG

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

69
Fair
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
60
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
59

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.80
Low Risk
DSRI
0.869
GMI
0.787
AQI
1.067
SGI
1.113
DEPI
1.500
SGAI
0.641
TATA
-0.069
LVGI
1.032

LIG's Beneish M-Score of -2.8005 suggests a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics indicate some weaknesses, particularly in profit margins, which could signal underlying operational challenges.

Red Flags
  • Earnings quality margin score of 0.0/100 indicates severe issues with profitability.
  • SGI of 1.1125 suggests that sales growth is outpacing earnings growth, a potential indicator of revenue recognition issues.
Positive Signals
  • High cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash flow generation.
  • Low DSRI of 0.8689 suggests that inventory levels are well managed relative to sales.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure shows a concentration of shares among a few individuals and institutions, which may lead to governance risks if interests diverge from minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor LIG's operational performance and margin improvements while considering a cautious approach due to the potential for revenue recognition issues.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
0.77
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.25
Positive
Composite
71
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+25.0%
Volatility
41.8%
Max Drawdown
-31.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
16.74P/E
P/B0.38
P/S0.08
ROE2.3%
ROA0.3%
EPS239.01
BVPS10397.39
Gross Margin4.4%
Net Margin0.5%
D/E4.76
Current Ratio1.14
Rev Growth26.2%
Profit Growth987.9%
EV/EBITDA25.43
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
95.1M
Charter Capital
950.8B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for LIG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Đinh Quang Chiến
Indiv
11.8%
11.2 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Tài chính Giáo dục
Inst
8.3%
1.4 trieu
Tổng Công ty LICOGI
Inst
6.2%
2.7 trieu
Lê Thị Quyên
Indiv
5.0%
2.2 trieu
Vũ Thị Kim Anh
Indiv
5.0%
2.2 trieu
LÂM THỊ KIỀU OANH
Indiv
5.0%
2.1 trieu
Nguyễn Văn Ngọc
Indiv
3.9%
654.500
Phạm Văn Thăng
Indiv
3.9%
3.7 trieu
Công ty Tài chính Thành Đạt
Inst
2.9%
480.000
TẠ QUỲNH MAI
Indiv
2.8%
1.2 trieu
Bùi Đình Sơn
Indiv
2.1%
2.0 trieu
Nguyễn Khắc Minh
Indiv
0.7%
123.041
Nguyễn Quốc Hưng
Indiv
0.7%
630.000
Vũ Tuấn Đương
Indiv
0.6%
531.484
Nguyễn Văn Hiệp
Indiv
0.6%
526.290
Lại Thế Xuân
Indiv
0.5%
81.574
nguyen-thanh-tu
Indiv
0.3%
270.062
Trần Thành Mai
Indiv
0.2%
29.000
Đặng Văn Ánh
Indiv
0.2%
26.445
Nguyễn Thị Thơm
Indiv
0.1%
100.536
Board & Management
Phạm Văn Thăng3.9%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Đình Sơn2.1%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Quốc Hùng0.7%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Tuấn Đương0.6%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Hiệp0.6%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thanh Tú0.3%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Thơm0.1%
Kế toán trưởng
Đỗ Thanh Hà
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Nam Sơn
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Thị Vân Anh
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Lê Xuân Thành
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Dương Thị Phượng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Quang Huy
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đinh Thị Kim Anh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Văn Cường
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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