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Construction sector

PVV

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Vinaconex 39
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
2.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
37.581
Current
2.000
Gap
+500.0%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
100.00%
+
Kd(1-t)
0.00%
x
D/(D+E)
0.00%
=
WACC
12.20%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
-733
50%DCF Value
37.581
Blended Intrinsic
37.581
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PVV

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

63
Fair
Accrual Quality
73
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.27
Moderate
DSRI
0.786
GMI
2.228
AQI
0.342
SGI
1.299
DEPI
1.070
SGAI
0.787
TATA
-0.067
LVGI
0.903

The Beneish M-Score of -2.2657 indicates a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation, but the high GMI of 2.2282 raises concerns about potential revenue recognition issues. Additionally, the earnings quality score of 63.3/100 reflects mixed performance, particularly with zero scores in revenue and margin quality.

Red Flags
  • GMI of 2.2282 suggests potential issues with revenue recognition, which is critical in the Vietnamese market context.
  • Earnings quality metrics show a score of 0.0/100 for both revenue and margin quality, indicating significant concerns about the sustainability of earnings.
Positive Signals
  • The DSRI of 0.7860 indicates that accounts receivable are growing slower than sales, which is a positive sign for cash flow.
  • The cash conversion score of 100.0/100 suggests strong cash flow generation relative to earnings.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders include significant institutional ownership (35.7% combined), which may provide stability; however, the presence of individual shareholders with substantial stakes could lead to potential governance issues.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider a deeper analysis of cash flow sustainability before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
-1.97
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.43
Positive
Composite
74
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+7.7%
Volatility
104.9%
Max Drawdown
-45.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
0.52P/E
P/B0.00
P/S3.01
ROE-133.3%
ROA14.2%
EPS3547.12
BVPS0.00
Gross Margin3.7%
Net Margin578.9%
D/E-25.40
Current Ratio0.91
Rev Growth29.9%
Profit Growth430.1%
EV/EBITDA-53.48
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
30.0M
Charter Capital
300.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PVV — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Quản lý Quỹ Leadvisors
Inst
19.0%
5.7 trieu
Ngân hàng TM TNHH MTV Việt Nam Hiện đại
Inst
16.7%
5.0 trieu
Nguyễn Bích Hằng
Indiv
14.1%
4.2 trieu
nguyen-viet-hung-2
Indiv
9.9%
3.0 trieu
Dương Ngọc Hùng
Indiv
6.7%
2.0 trieu
Trần Văn Quý
Indiv
4.9%
1.5 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán MB
Inst
4.3%
1.3 trieu
Ngân hàng Thương mại Cổ phần Đại chúng Việt Nam
Inst
3.3%
1.0 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu Tư Xây dựng và Kỹ Thuật Vinaconex
Inst
2.5%
763.900
Nguyễn Thanh Quỳnh
Indiv
1.7%
514.000
Công ty Cổ phần Khoáng sản Bắc Trung Bộ
Inst
1.3%
393.500
Lê Quang Tuấn
Indiv
1.0%
300.000
Lê Minh Sơn
Indiv
0.5%
150.000
Trương Quốc Dũng
Indiv
0.5%
150.000
Phạm Văn Toán
Indiv
0.5%
144.200
Lê Thị Hoa
Indiv
0.4%
130.500
Trịnh Đức Phú
Indiv
0.4%
130.000
Phan Đình Phong
Indiv
0.4%
120.000
Bùi Anh Ninh
Indiv
0.2%
72.800
Phạm Thị Minh Nguyệt
Indiv
0.2%
54.900
Board & Management
Phan Đình Phong0.4%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Đinh Cảnh Tiến
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Kim Hạnh
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Phạm Thị Huyền Trang
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Võ Thành Tâm
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Thành Kiên
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thị Như Lan
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Tiến Dũng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Vũ Tuấn Dũng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Bảo Trung
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Thị Xuân
Kế toán trưởng
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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