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Cyclicals sector

POS

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Vận hành và Xây lắp PTSC
Dầu khí/Thiết bị, Dịch vụ và Phân phối Dầu khíCT
16.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
18.413
Current
16.000
Gap
+15.1%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTDầu khíCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Dầu khí" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA38.61B
Fair EV/EBITDA6.4x
Years of data7
2
Valuation
Mid-Cycle EBITDA
38.61B
x
Fair EV/EBITDA
6.4x
-
Net Debt
-599.64B
=
Equity Value
18.413
Years of data7

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — POS

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

57
Fair
Accrual Quality
78
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
32

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.97
Moderate
DSRI
0.723
GMI
1.139
AQI
1.442
SGI
1.189
DEPI
0.923
SGAI
0.551
TATA
0.054
LVGI
0.920

The Beneish M-Score of -1.9666 indicates a potential risk of earnings manipulation, as it exceeds the threshold of -1.78. Coupled with a low earnings quality score of 56.7/100, particularly concerning cash conversion metrics, this raises significant concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.9666 indicates potential earnings manipulation, exceeding the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings quality score of 56.7/100, with a cash conversion score of 0.0/100, suggests severe issues in converting earnings into cash.
Positive Signals
  • Strong receivables score of 100.0/100 indicates effective management of credit risk.
  • High margin score of 100.0/100 suggests strong profitability in operations.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership, with 85.0% held by Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Dịch vụ Kỹ thuật Dầu khí Việt Nam, poses risks related to governance and minority shareholder rights, potentially limiting transparency.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and consider further due diligence on cash flow management and earnings sustainability before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.23
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.47
Negative
Composite
41
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-20.4%
Volatility
29.9%
Max Drawdown
-43.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
7.39P/E
P/B0.86
P/S0.30
ROE12.3%
ROA4.8%
EPS2249.69
BVPS19318.26
Gross Margin4.1%
Net Margin4.1%
D/E1.42
Current Ratio1.65
Rev Growth18.9%
Profit Growth19.4%
EV/EBITDA1.29
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
46.0M
Charter Capital
460.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Dầu khí
Industry (ICB L3)
Thiết bị, Dịch vụ và Phân phối Dầu khí
Sub-industry
Thiết bị và Dịch vụ Dầu khí
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for POS — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Dịch vụ Kỹ thuật Dầu khí Việt Nam
Inst
85.0%
34.0 trieu
Ngân hàng TM TNHH MTV Việt Nam Hiện đại
Inst
7.0%
3.2 trieu
Lê Toàn Thắng
Indiv
0.1%
57.500
nguyen-van-diep
Indiv
0.1%
50.000
Nguyễn Ngọc Trưởng
Indiv
0.1%
40.000
Board & Management
Lê Toàn Thắng0.1%
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Dương
Giám đốc
Nguyễn Minh Ngọc
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Tiên Phong
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Đình Cao Sơn
Phó Giám đốc
Phạm Thu Hiền
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thị Minh Hương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Chi Viện
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Lệ Trà
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thế Hoàng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Dương Hùng Văn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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