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Construction sector

QNC

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Xi măng và Xây dựng Quảng Ninh
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
5.800
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
5.975
Current
5.800
Gap
+3.0%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
11.950
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
11.950

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — QNC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

40
Weak
Accrual Quality
75
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
5
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.01
Moderate
DSRI
0.831
GMI
1.324
AQI
0.954
SGI
1.183
DEPI
1.047
SGAI
0.724
TATA
0.062
LVGI
1.088

QNC's Beneish M-Score of -2.0057 suggests a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation; however, the Earnings Quality Score of 39.5 indicates significant concerns regarding cash conversion and revenue quality. The company's ownership structure is concentrated, which may pose governance risks.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 39.5/100, indicating poor cash conversion and revenue quality.
  • High SGI of 1.1825 suggests aggressive growth that may not be supported by cash flows.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.0057 is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating a lower likelihood of financial statement manipulation.
  • Strong receivables quality score of 100.0/100 suggests effective management of accounts receivable.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, Tô Ngọc Hoàng, holds 38.0% of the company, indicating a high concentration of ownership which may lead to potential governance issues and conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow performance and revenue quality metrics, and consider diversifying their holdings to mitigate risks associated with ownership concentration.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
2/9
Weak
Z-Score
1.11
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.45
Negative
Composite
32
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-13.4%
Volatility
54.4%
Max Drawdown
-25.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
9.70P/E
P/B0.49
P/S0.18
ROE5.1%
ROA1.9%
EPS597.72
BVPS11950.29
Gross Margin8.6%
Net Margin1.9%
D/E1.92
Current Ratio0.88
Rev Growth18.1%
Profit Growth-16.9%
EV/EBITDA5.61
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
60.0M
Charter Capital
600.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Vật liệu xây dựng & Nội thất
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for QNC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tô Ngọc Hoàng
Indiv
38.0%
22.8 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu Tư Bluecem Vietnam
Inst
24.6%
14.7 trieu
Konex Limited
Inst
15.4%
9.3 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Thu Trang
Indiv
5.6%
2.2 trieu
Tô Quang Anh
Indiv
3.9%
2.4 trieu
Nguyễn Long Giang
Indiv
3.2%
595.007
CAO QUANG DUYỆT
Indiv
3.1%
579.491
Đỗ Hoàng Phúc
Indiv
2.9%
1.7 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Núi Rùa
Inst
2.7%
1.0 trieu
Nguyễn Trường Giang
Indiv
2.2%
1.3 trieu
ĐINH ĐỨC HIỂN
Indiv
1.7%
430.586
Nguyễn Hữu Tưởng
Indiv
1.6%
297.438
nguyen-dinh-tam
Indiv
0.9%
559.851
Đinh Trọng Công
Indiv
0.6%
110.359
Trần Văn Hiếu
Indiv
0.4%
79.000
Hoàng Văn Thụy
Indiv
0.4%
73.958
Phan Ngô Chứ
Indiv
0.2%
28.408
Kim Trọng Bộ
Indiv
0.1%
25.530
Đặng Thu Hương
Indiv
0.1%
21.970
Board & Management
Tô Ngọc Hoàng38.0%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Đỗ Hoàng Phúc2.9%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Trường Giang2.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Đình Tâm0.9%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Trọng Hiệt
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Hoàng Văn Công
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Ngô Hữu Thế
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Kiên
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thị Dịu
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Thị Thúy Hằng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Quang Tịnh
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Guillaume Jean Francois
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Ngọc Anh
Kế toán trưởng
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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