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Utilities sector

DNC

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Điện nước Lắp máy Hải Phòng
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Sản xuất & Phân phối ĐiệnCT
60.200
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
62.477
Current
60.200
Gap
+3.8%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend10.00%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS2.500
Payout ratio45.1%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
2.500
Base Growth
10.00%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
62.477
Value Decomposition
24%
76%
Explicit period (24%)Terminal value (76%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DNC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

87
Good
Accrual Quality
37
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
100

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-1.90
Moderate
DSRI
1.040
GMI
1.032
AQI
1.258
SGI
1.168
DEPI
0.938
SGAI
0.979
TATA
0.057
LVGI
0.987

DNC exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -1.9036, indicating potential earnings manipulation concerns as it exceeds the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the company shows a relatively strong earnings quality score of 70.3, suggesting some level of financial integrity despite the red flags.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.9036 indicates potential earnings manipulation, exceeding the threshold of -1.78.
  • DSRI of 1.0399 suggests a slight increase in receivables relative to sales, which could indicate revenue recognition issues.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 70.3/100 reflects decent overall earnings quality, particularly strong margins and revenue metrics.
  • Equity margin score of 100.0/100 indicates excellent profitability on sales.
Ownership Risk

The concentrated ownership structure, with the top three shareholders holding a combined 65.6%, raises concerns about potential governance issues and conflicts of interest, which could affect minority shareholder rights.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor DNC's financial disclosures for signs of earnings manipulation and consider engaging with management regarding governance practices. A cautious approach is advised given the elevated risk level.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
9.23
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.21
Positive
Composite
59
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-6.7%
Volatility
55.2%
Max Drawdown
-27.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
11.39P/E
P/B3.94
P/S0.56
ROE37.8%
ROA24.3%
EPS5538.98
BVPS16022.07
Gross Margin8.3%
Net Margin4.9%
D/E0.58
Current Ratio1.70
Rev Growth20.9%
Profit Growth31.9%
EV/EBITDA7.43
Div Yield4.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
10.0M
Charter Capital
100.3B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Sub-industry
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DNC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Nguyễn Trung Kiên
Indiv
29.8%
1.9 trieu
Đỗ Huy Đạt
Indiv
25.4%
1.6 trieu
Lê Hữu Cảnh
Indiv
12.4%
796.843
Lại Thị Dinh
Indiv
7.9%
631.010
Công ty TNHH Hà Nam Xanh
Inst
6.4%
329.363
Công ty TNHH Dây cáp điện Thái Dương SUNCO
Inst
5.6%
141.000
Dương Anh Tuấn
Indiv
5.6%
141.000
Nguyễn Thị Thu Trang
Indiv
4.9%
252.969
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán Hải Phòng
Inst
4.3%
107.800
Vũ Thị Lương Dung
Indiv
3.3%
213.340
Lê Xuân Phòng
Indiv
2.5%
64.438
Nguyễn Hữu Điều
Indiv
2.1%
52.950
Nguyễn Hồng Hải
Indiv
2.0%
49.850
Lại Thị Vinh
Indiv
0.8%
48.872
Nguyễn Văn Duyền
Indiv
0.7%
17.880
Nguyễn Văn Thảo
Indiv
0.6%
51.000
Nguyễn Thị Thu Hà
Indiv
0.5%
35.540
Tạ Văn Sơn
Indiv
0.5%
29.646
Đỗ Xuân Thủy
Indiv
0.2%
3.950
Board & Management
Nguyễn Trung Kiên29.8%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đỗ Huy Đạt25.4%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Hữu Cảnh12.4%
Tổng Giám đốc/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Thu Trang4.9%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Thị Lương Dung3.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Người phụ trách quản trị công ty/Giám đốc Kinh doanh
Lại Thị Vinh0.8%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Thao0.6%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
NGUYỄN THỊ THU HÀ0.5%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Tạ Văn Sơn0.5%
Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ /Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Mai Thị Thanh Hà
Kế toán trưởng
Lâm Thị Lịch
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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