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Consumer sector

DNM

Consumer
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Y tế Danameco
Y tế/Thiết bị và Dịch vụ Y tếCT
12.200
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
84.495
Current
12.200
Gap
+500.0%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTY tếConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Y tế" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
16.67%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.40%
x
D/(D+E)
83.33%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF34.42B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
34.42B
Growth Rate
4.00%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
84.495
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DNM

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

34
Weak
Accrual Quality
55
Cash Conversion
40
Receivables
12
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
50

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-3.14
Low Risk
DSRI
1.479
GMI
0.122
AQI
0.824
SGI
0.905
DEPI
0.783
SGAI
0.407
TATA
-0.120
LVGI
1.002

The Beneish M-Score of -3.1441 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 33.6/100, particularly low metrics in receivables and margins, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 33.6/100 indicates significant issues with revenue recognition and cash conversion, particularly with an eq_receivables score of only 11.9/100.
  • The DSRI of 1.4794 suggests that accounts receivable are growing faster than revenue, which could indicate potential revenue recognition issues.
Positive Signals
  • The GMI of 0.1216 is relatively low, suggesting that gross margins are stable, which can be a positive indicator in the context of Vietnamese market volatility.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders are concentrated, with the largest individual holding at 24.0% and significant stakes from other individuals, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow metrics and revenue recognition practices, and consider a cautious approach to investment until improvements in earnings quality are observed.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
0.30
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.37
Negative
Composite
41
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-46.0%
Volatility
153.9%
Max Drawdown
-70.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
-196.20P/E
P/B19.64
P/S0.26
ROE-5.4%
ROA-0.1%
EPS-49.95
BVPS498.91
Gross Margin16.9%
Net Margin-0.1%
D/E65.65
Current Ratio0.95
Rev Growth-9.4%
Profit Growth99.5%
EV/EBITDA4.17
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
5.3M
Charter Capital
52.5B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Y tế
Industry (ICB L3)
Thiết bị và Dịch vụ Y tế
Sub-industry
Dụng cụ y tế
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DNM — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Dịp Văn Minh
Indiv
24.0%
1.3 trieu
america limited liability company
Inst
22.7%
441.450
Võ Anh Đức
Indiv
22.4%
1.2 trieu
nguyen-thi-hong-van
Indiv
16.1%
703.500
Lê Văn Nam
Indiv
4.8%
252.600
Phạm Thị Thanh Huyền
Indiv
4.8%
209.100
Bùi Lê Minh
Indiv
4.7%
204.400
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Tâm
Indiv
3.1%
128.529
Lê Thị Mỹ
Indiv
2.3%
98.500
Nguyễn Kiệm
Indiv
1.2%
54.149
Nguyễn Thị Hiền Nhân
Indiv
1.0%
42.662
Nguyễn Thị Hoài Nam
Indiv
0.8%
36.738
Nguyễn Văn Hòa
Indiv
0.4%
18.413
Đặng Quốc Tuấn
Indiv
0.3%
12.327
Nguyễn Ngọ
Indiv
0.3%
11.150
nguyen-thi-minh-hien
Indiv
0.2%
7.238
Ngô Quang Hưng
Indiv
0.2%
6.707
Đặng Văn Đấu
Indiv
0.1%
5.700
Board & Management
Võ Anh Đức22.4%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Văn Nam4.8%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Hoa0.4%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đặng Quốc Tuấn0.3%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Đình Phương Nam
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Lê Hải Trọng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Huỳnh Thị Li Li
Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Hữu Ánh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phan Thị Thanh Tài
Thư ký Hội đồng Quản Trị/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Đỗ Kiên Giang
Phó Tổng Giám đốc Kinh doanh
Huỳnh Đức Dũng
Kế toán trưởng
Trần Quốc Dũng
Giám đốc khối
Trương Văn Bảy
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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