GDW
UtilitiesValuation Breakdown
The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — GDW
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2024
GDW shows a Beneish M-Score of -2.1683, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant weaknesses, particularly in revenue and margin quality, which raise concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.
- Earnings Quality Score of 68.5/100 indicates potential issues, especially with an eq_margin of only 27.1/100, suggesting low profitability relative to revenue.
- The DSRI of 1.1898 suggests that accounts receivable are growing faster than revenue, which could indicate potential revenue recognition issues.
- The eq_accrual score of 98.7/100 indicates strong accrual quality, suggesting that reported earnings are backed by actual cash flows.
- Ownership by institutional investors is high, with the top three shareholders holding 81.3% of the shares, which may provide stability and alignment of interests.
The high concentration of ownership among institutional investors reduces the risk of shareholder activism but may also lead to a lack of transparency and accountability in decision-making.
Investors should closely monitor GDW's revenue recognition practices and margin improvements. Given the elevated risk level, a cautious approach is advised, potentially waiting for clearer signals of operational stability before making significant investments.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for GDW — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate