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Consumer sector

GMC

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Garmex Sài Gòn
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Hàng cá nhânCT
5.300
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
5.181
Current
5.300
Gap
-2.2%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Cash Flow
BVPS
10.363
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
10.363

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — GMC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

45
Weak
Accrual Quality
89
Cash Conversion
40
Receivables
7
Margin Stability
34
Revenue Quality
40

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.78
Low Risk
DSRI
0.854
GMI
1.043
AQI
1.113
SGI
0.863
DEPI
1.018
SGAI
0.820
TATA
-0.028
LVGI
1.053

GMC exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.7848, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality score of 44.8/100, particularly low cash conversion and receivables metrics, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 44.8/100, with cash conversion at only 40.0/100 and receivables at 7.4/100, suggesting potential issues with revenue recognition and cash flow sustainability.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.7848 indicates low likelihood of earnings manipulation, which is a positive signal for investors.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders are primarily institutional investors, which may provide stability; however, the concentration of ownership (over 54% held by the top four institutions) could lead to governance risks and reduced shareholder influence.

Recommendation

Investors should monitor cash flow and receivables closely, as the low earnings quality score suggests potential volatility. Consider a cautious approach to investment until improvements in cash conversion and receivables management are evident.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
9.99
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.92
Negative
Composite
28
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-37.1%
Volatility
92.0%
Max Drawdown
-56.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
-7.91P/E
P/B0.55
P/S102.77
ROE-6.7%
ROA-6.6%
EPS-723.25
BVPS10362.88
Gross Margin87.2%
Net Margin-1299.5%
D/E0.03
Current Ratio40.79
Rev Growth-13.7%
Profit Growth20.1%
EV/EBITDA-12.10
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
33.0M
Charter Capital
330.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng cá nhân
Sub-industry
Hàng May mặc
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for GMC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty TNHH Đầu Tư Và Thương Mại Thiên Hải
Inst
15.9%
5.2 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu Tư T.T.A
Inst
15.2%
5.0 trieu
Công Ty Cổ Phần Xuất Nhập Khẩu Và Đầu Tư Thừa Thiên Huế
Inst
13.2%
4.4 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Dệt May Gia Định
Inst
10.1%
3.3 trieu
Lâm Tử Thanh
Indiv
7.1%
2.1 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Sản xuất Kinh doanh Xuất nhập khẩu Bình Thạnh
Inst
7.1%
2.3 trieu
Công Ty TNHH Lựa chọn đầu tiên
Inst
3.3%
380.000
Lê Quang Hùng
Indiv
2.9%
443.620
asiavantage global limited
Inst
2.6%
299.980
Nguyễn An
Indiv
2.5%
384.530
Công ty TNHH Thương mại Á Châu
Inst
1.9%
618.871
Công ty TNHH Tân Á
Inst
1.9%
562.610
Selfar International Limited Liability Company
Inst
1.8%
205.000
Công ty Cổ phần May Sài Gòn 3
Inst
1.7%
200.002
Đỗ Thị Kim Nhàn
Indiv
1.6%
187.283
Nguyễn Hoàng Giang
Indiv
1.0%
114.100
Nhữ Hồng Thanh
Indiv
0.5%
56.745
Nguyễn Thị Thu Hường
Indiv
0.3%
75.905
Trần Cảnh Thông
Indiv
0.1%
20.000
nguyen-minh-hang
Indiv
0.1%
34.148
Board & Management
Nguyễn Minh Hằng0.1%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Phan Thị Phượng
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Lê Thị Chín
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thị Mỹ Hạnh
Kế toán trưởng
Lê Văn Hùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Bùi Minh Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Từ Vĩ Trí
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Hùng
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Huỳnh Thị Kim Loan
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Nguyễn Thị Thu Hà
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Bùi Tuấn Ngọc
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Việt Cường
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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