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Construction sector

SHG

Construction
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Sông Hồng
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
2.400
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
0
Current
2.400
Gap
-100.0%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

38
Weak
Accrual Quality
61
Cash Conversion
11
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-1.12
High Risk
DSRI
0.747
GMI
1.688
AQI
0.692
SGI
1.335
DEPI
2.054
SGAI
0.214
TATA
0.179
LVGI
1.121

SHG exhibits a concerning Beneish M-Score of -1.1212, indicating potential earnings manipulation risk, although it remains above the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 39.7 suggests significant weaknesses in revenue and margin recognition, which could impact investor confidence.

Red Flags
  • GMI of 1.6880 indicates a deterioration in gross margin, suggesting potential revenue recognition issues.
  • Earnings quality metrics show a score of 0.0/100 for both eq_margin and eq_revenue, highlighting severe concerns in profitability and revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 0.7470 indicates that accounts receivable are growing slower than revenue, which is a positive sign for cash flow.
  • Top shareholders hold a concentrated ownership structure, with the largest shareholder holding 24.9%, which may align interests and reduce agency risk.
Ownership Risk

The concentrated ownership by individual shareholders (top 5 holding 90.3%) may lead to governance risks, as decisions may prioritize personal interests over minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should conduct further due diligence, particularly focusing on revenue recognition practices and cash flow management, before considering an investment in SHG.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
-4.08
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.23
Negative
Composite
29
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
+10.0%
Volatility
116.8%
Max Drawdown
-65.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
-0.82P/E
P/B0.00
P/S2.01
ROE7.1%
ROA-8.4%
EPS-2751.11
BVPS0.00
Gross Margin-48.3%
Net Margin-243.9%
D/E-1.79
Current Ratio0.41
Rev Growth153.7%
Profit Growth-8052.9%
EV/EBITDA-17.52
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
27.0M
Charter Capital
270.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SHG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Nguyễn Thương Huyền
Indiv
24.9%
6.7 trieu
Đinh Văn Mạnh
Indiv
24.5%
6.6 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Hoa
Indiv
21.2%
5.7 trieu
Phạm Thị Phương Thúy
Indiv
11.1%
3.0 trieu
Lã Tuấn Hưng
Indiv
9.6%
2.6 trieu
Đặng Tiên Phong
Indiv
1.1%
300.200
Phùng Quang Hải
Indiv
0.1%
30.000
Board & Management
Lã Tuấn Hưng9.6%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Phùng Quang Hải0.1%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Mai Văn Đông
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
PHẠM VĂN NGHĨA
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Hiến
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phan Việt Anh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phùng Minh Bằng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Cao Tiến Trung
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Hoàng Anh
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Tất Thành
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Thị Mai Hương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Huy Hoàng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Anh Tài
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Đức Toàn
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Xuân Thi
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Huyền Linh
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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