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Consumer sector

TNG

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư và Thương mại TNG
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Hàng cá nhânCT
25.700
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
22.021
Current
25.700
Gap
-14.3%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
32.53%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.47%
x
D/(D+E)
67.47%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend6.77%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF314.82B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
314.82B
Growth Rate
6.77%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
22.021
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — TNG

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

86
Good
Accrual Quality
99
Cash Conversion
87
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
72
Revenue Quality
59

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.27
Moderate
DSRI
1.204
GMI
1.084
AQI
0.654
SGI
1.136
DEPI
1.186
SGAI
0.920
TATA
-0.004
LVGI
1.053

TNG's Beneish M-Score of -2.266 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the relatively high SGI of 1.1362 and DEPI of 1.1860 suggest potential growth pressures that could impact future earnings quality.

Red Flags
  • SGI of 1.1362 indicates higher sales growth relative to prior periods, which may not be sustainable.
  • DEPI of 1.1860 suggests that the company is experiencing increasing depreciation relative to sales, which could signal potential asset overvaluation.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 86.0/100 reflects strong overall earnings quality, particularly in receivables (100.0/100) and accruals (98.5/100).
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.266 suggests a low risk of earnings manipulation, which is a positive indicator for investors.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is concentrated, with the top three shareholders holding a combined 37.0%, which may lead to governance risks if their interests diverge from minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Monitor TNG's growth metrics closely, particularly SGI and DEPI, as they may indicate future earnings pressure. Consider investing cautiously, given the strong earnings quality but potential governance risks.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.74
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.15
Positive
Composite
57
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-2.3%
Volatility
39.2%
Max Drawdown
-37.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
8.42P/E
P/B1.65
P/S0.38
ROE20.2%
ROA6.2%
EPS3053.61
BVPS15554.82
Gross Margin14.2%
Net Margin4.5%
D/E2.45
Current Ratio0.88
Rev Growth13.6%
Profit Growth24.9%
EV/EBITDA6.79
Div Yield5.8%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
128.7M
Charter Capital
1287.3B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng cá nhân
Sub-industry
Hàng May mặc
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for TNG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Nguyễn Văn Thời
Indiv
19.2%
24.7 trieu
NGUYỄN ĐỨC MẠNH
Indiv
12.0%
15.5 trieu
Trần Cảnh Thông
Indiv
5.8%
7.1 trieu
Phillip Securities Public Company Limited
Inst
5.1%
5.3 trieu
Nguyễn Xuân Thủy
Indiv
5.0%
1.1 trieu
Tundra Sustainable Frontier Fund
Inst
4.9%
2.5 trieu
asean deep value fund
Inst
4.9%
2.0 trieu
Korea Investment Securities Co., Ltd
Inst
4.9%
4.5 trieu
asean small cap fund
Inst
4.3%
950.000
afc vietnam fund
Inst
3.3%
4.1 trieu
Fides KTCU Private Investment Trust 1
Inst
3.3%
4.2 trieu
Đỗ Thị Hà
Indiv
1.7%
2.2 trieu
Nguyễn Việt Thành
Indiv
1.6%
350.245
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán BIDV
Inst
1.1%
240.000
FIDES VIETNAM GENERAL PRIVATE INVESTMENT POBA TRUST 1
Inst
0.8%
1.1 trieu
FIDES REHOBOTH KBIZ PRIVATE INVESTMENT TRUST 15
Inst
0.7%
950.559
Lương Thị Thúy Hà
Indiv
0.7%
808.791
nguyen-huy-hoang
Indiv
0.6%
140.874
Lã Anh Thắng
Indiv
0.6%
131.785
Nguyễn Mạnh Linh
Indiv
0.6%
719.076
Bùi Thị Thắm
Indiv
0.6%
121.726
FIDES VIETNAM GENERAL PRIVATE INVESTMENT PMAA TRUST 1
Inst
0.4%
581.180
LÝ THỊ LIÊN
Indiv
0.4%
179.361
FIDES VIETNAM GENERAL PRIVATE INVESTMENT SEMA TRUST 1
Inst
0.4%
543.780
Công ty TNHH Quản Lý Quỹ Kim Việt Nam
Inst
0.3%
74.840
Đoàn Thị Thu
Indiv
0.3%
398.272
Goldman Shachs International Company
Inst
0.3%
69.400
Nguyễn Thị Miền
Indiv
0.2%
304.857
Nguyễn Thị Nhuận
Indiv
0.2%
301.030
Nguyễn Thị Minh Thọ
Indiv
0.2%
50.000
Trần Thị Thu Hà
Indiv
0.1%
180.911
Nguyễn Thị Phượng
Indiv
0.1%
180.733
Cao Thị Tuyết
Indiv
0.1%
28.520
Đào Đức Thanh
Indiv
0.1%
164.738
FIDES VIETNAM GENERAL PRIVATE INVESTMENT CG TRUST 1
Inst
0.1%
160.476
Trần Minh Hiếu
Indiv
0.1%
137.948
Board & Management
Nguyễn Văn Thời19.2%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
NGUYỄN ĐỨC MẠNH12.0%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Cảnh Thông5.8%
Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ /Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đỗ Thị Hà1.7%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Lương Thị Thúy Hà0.7%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Mạnh Linh0.6%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đoàn Thị Thu0.3%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Thị Thu Hà0.1%
Kế toán trưởng/Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán
Nguyễn Thị Phương0.1%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đào Đức Thanh0.1%
Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ /Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Minh Hiếu0.1%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
NGUYỄN VĂN ĐỨC
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thanh Tuấn
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lưu Đức Huy
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Quang Vinh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Hoàng Giang
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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