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Consumer sector

TDT

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư và Phát triển TDT
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Hàng cá nhânCT
6.900
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
5.976
Current
6.900
Gap
-13.4%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
11.952
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
11.952

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — TDT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

90
Good
Accrual Quality
99
Cash Conversion
70
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
89

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.91
Low Risk
DSRI
0.631
GMI
0.983
AQI
0.959
SGI
1.156
DEPI
0.969
SGAI
1.049
TATA
-0.041
LVGI
0.997

TDT exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.9094, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant weaknesses in revenue recognition and profit margins, which could pose risks to financial stability.

Red Flags
  • The SGI of 1.1564 suggests aggressive growth strategies that may not be sustainable.
  • The eq_margin score of 41.8/100 indicates poor profitability relative to revenues, raising concerns about operational efficiency.
Positive Signals
  • The earnings quality score of 75.0/100, particularly strong cash conversion at 100.0/100, indicates solid cash flow management.
  • A Beneish M-Score below the manipulation threshold suggests a lower risk of accounting fraud.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders are individual investors, with the largest holding at 15.6%. This fragmented ownership structure may lead to governance challenges and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor TDT's revenue recognition practices and operational efficiency. Consider a cautious approach, given the mixed signals in earnings quality and growth strategies.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.64
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.52
Negative
Composite
59
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-0.2%
Volatility
10.9%
Max Drawdown
-8.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
9.04P/E
P/B0.58
P/S0.26
ROE6.5%
ROA2.9%
EPS763.47
BVPS11952.20
Gross Margin24.4%
Net Margin2.9%
D/E1.33
Current Ratio1.39
Rev Growth11.6%
Profit Growth23.3%
EV/EBITDA6.02
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
23.9M
Charter Capital
239.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng cá nhân
Sub-industry
Hàng May mặc
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for TDT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Chu Thuyên
Indiv
15.6%
3.7 trieu
nguyen-viet-thang-2
Indiv
6.4%
1.5 trieu
Hoàng Thị Hợp
Indiv
4.9%
391.200
nguyen-thi-mai-phuong
Indiv
4.4%
1.0 trieu
nguyen-minh-hai
Indiv
4.3%
342.600
nguyen-huy-hoang
Indiv
3.3%
379.500
Phạm Thái Hòa
Indiv
2.3%
556.676
Nguyễn Thị Phượng
Indiv
1.1%
232.000
ĐẶNG ĐÌNH VỤ
Indiv
0.8%
92.000
Nguyễn Văn Bằng
Indiv
0.4%
108.600
Đặng Quang Huy
Indiv
0.4%
101.200
Hà Thị Thu
Indiv
0.4%
43.500
Dương Ngọc Hải
Indiv
0.3%
73.942
Đỗ Ngọc Tuyến
Indiv
0.3%
71.960
Lê Thị Hồng Thắm
Indiv
0.2%
50.212
Hà Thị Thùy Anh
Indiv
0.1%
12.000
Board & Management
Chu Thuyên15.6%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Việt Thắng6.4%
Tổng Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thái Hòa2.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Kế toán trưởng
ĐẶNG ĐÌNH VỤ0.8%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Bằng0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Dương Ngọc Hải0.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Đỗ Ngọc Tuyến0.3%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Thị Hồng Thắm0.2%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Kim Thành
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đỗ Mạnh Hùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Phan Mạnh Hà
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Computed 12/04/2026
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