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Consumer sector

XHC

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Xuân Hòa Việt Nam
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Hàng gia dụngCT
18.700
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
9.608
Current
18.700
Gap
-48.6%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
19.216
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
19.216

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — XHC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

28
Poor
Accrual Quality
66
Cash Conversion
11
Receivables
27
Margin Stability
21
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-3.27
Low Risk
DSRI
1.224
GMI
0.764
AQI
0.540
SGI
0.692
DEPI
1.402
SGAI
1.263
TATA
-0.102
LVGI
0.802

XHC exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -3.2729, well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 45.5/100 further highlights weaknesses in revenue recognition and margin quality, suggesting increased risk in financial reporting.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -3.2729 indicates significant potential for earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings quality metrics show a concerning eq_receivables score of 0.0/100 and eq_margin score of 37.8/100, signaling poor revenue recognition and profitability issues.
Positive Signals
  • The cash conversion score of 100.0/100 suggests that cash flows are being generated effectively, which is a positive indicator amidst other red flags.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders include significant institutional ownership (37.1% combined), which may provide stability; however, the presence of individual shareholders with substantial stakes could lead to potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor XHC's financial disclosures and earnings reports, particularly focusing on cash flow statements and revenue recognition practices before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.98
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.05
Negative
Composite
30
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
+8.2%
Volatility
147.7%
Max Drawdown
-44.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
6.24P/E
P/B1.00
P/S0.83
ROE16.9%
ROA9.7%
EPS3093.84
BVPS19216.44
Gross Margin14.2%
Net Margin13.3%
D/E0.64
Current Ratio1.84
Rev Growth-10.0%
Profit Growth23.4%
EV/EBITDA17.69
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
21.1M
Charter Capital
211.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng gia dụng
Sub-industry
Thiết bị gia dụng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for XHC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công Ty Cổ Phần Đầu Tư VAC Việt Nam
Inst
25.7%
5.4 trieu
Công ty TNHH Quản lý Quỹ Bảo Việt
Inst
11.4%
2.4 trieu
Nguyễn Hoàng Hải
Indiv
11.3%
2.4 trieu
nguyen-viet-anh
Indiv
8.4%
1.8 trieu
Trần Thị Thu Hà
Indiv
8.1%
1.7 trieu
Lê Tú Anh
Indiv
6.2%
1.3 trieu
nguyen-thi-minh-hien
Indiv
5.9%
1.2 trieu
nguyen-thi-minh-hien
Indiv
5.5%
1.2 trieu
Lê Thị Hoa
Indiv
4.7%
989.332
Khúc Văn Quang
Indiv
3.6%
753.300
Vương Xuân Hùng
Indiv
3.6%
750.300
nguyen-anh-tuan
Indiv
2.7%
562.636
Trần Minh Hoàng
Indiv
0.8%
154.100
Nguyên Thị Dạ Liên
Indiv
0.5%
104.912
Tạ Lê Hải Anh
Indiv
0.5%
100.000
Đào Đức Chính
Indiv
0.5%
98.800
Board & Management
Trần Minh Hoàng0.8%
Thành viên Ban đại diện Quỹ
Đào Đức Chính0.5%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Đặng Thanh Thùy
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Dương Thị Thu Liên
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đào Ngọc Thu
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Linh Chi
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Đức Cường
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Duy Anh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Đoàn Hương Sơn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Tiến Tuấn
Kế toán trưởng
Lê Việt Bằng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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